New Zealand v Italy Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby World Cup

new-zealand-v-italy-summer-internationals-2023-prediction-banner new-zealand-v-italy-summer-internationals-2023-prediction-banner
TournamentRugby World Cup 2023
Timetable8.00 PM - 29 Sep 23
PredictionNew Zealand to win
OddsNew Zealand to Win @ 1.02
BookmakerWilliam Hill
New Zealand to win
The best odds
William Hill
Odds : 1.02
Bet £100 and win £102.00 if New Zealand win.

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Spreadex Sports
Odds : 1.005
Bet £100 and win £100.50 if New Zealand win.

18+ | Registered Customers Only. Place qualifying £25 fixed odds bet (minimum odds 1/2). First £5 free bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. The four following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on each consecutive days. Also, free Total Goals spread bets are be awarded but a full spread betting account is needed to claim them | Free bet stake not included in any winnings | Free bets must be claimed within 28 days of opening | Cashed out & in-play bets do not qualify | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply.

Match prediction 27 of 48 of our Rugby World Cup 2023 betting series.

new-zealand-v-italy-prediction new-zealand-v-italy-prediction

New Zealand and Italy clash in Pool A of the Rugby World Cup 2023 on Friday the 29th of September, with the action from the Parc Olympique Lyonnais kicking off at 20:00 GMT.

These two nations are familiar foes, since they have been drawn in the same World Cup group no fewer than 5 times. In total, they have played 15 times and, if you are of an Italian persuasion, you might want to look away now as the All Blacks have a 100% record in this fixture - including a 47-9 hammering the last time they met.

Can Italy cause one of the biggest shocks that the rugby world has ever seen, or will New Zealand enjoy another walk in the proverbial park? Read on for my New Zealand vs Italy prediction.

💯 New Zealand v Italy Betting Odds Rugby World Cup

Let us start off by having a look at the rugby betting odds that are being offered by some of the top bookmakers for three popular rugby union betting markets. If you would like to find out more about any of the bookies that you can see in the following tables, then you can do so by heading over to our bookmaker reviews page.

🥇 New Zealand v Italy Match Winner Odds

Now, due to the perceived gulf in class between these two sides, I highly doubt that the following odds are going to get your juices flowing. But I have supplied them for you anyway, should you wish to make use of them:

New ZealandN/AN/A1.02N/A1.005

➕ New Zealand v Italy Handicap 3-Way Odds

If you feel like having a bet on this match, but you agree with the bookmakers in thinking that it will be a complete walkover, then you might want to consider handicap betting, where you can give either team a theoretical points advantage or disadvantage. Handicap betting is particularly handy in matches where there is a big gulf in class between the two teams.

Below you can see the odds for handicap betting from five top UK sports betting sites:

New Zealand (0-26)----1.83
New Zealand (0-28)--1.90--
New Zealand (0-27)1.891.89---
New Zealand (0-28)--1.90--
Draw (0-26)----23.00
Draw (0-27)17.5017.50--21.00
Draw (0-28)--17.00--
Italy (0-26)----1.95
Italy (0-27)1.811.81--1.80
Italy (0-28)--1.91--

🏮 New Zealand v Italy Asian Handicap Odds

If you are searching for shorter or longer betting odds, then you can take a look at the Asian handicap betting options - with such a market, the possibility of a draw is eliminated. The table below has the information that you might need:

New Zealand (-26.5)1.811.81-1.751.83
Italy (+26.5)1.811.81-1.751.83

Odds are accurate at the time of writing, but are subject to change. For the latest odds, please visit each bookmaker's respective site.

🔍 New Zealand v Italy Winner Prediction

Rugby fans and pundits will think this is a foregone conclusion, but stranger things have happened in a rugby match. The All Blacks are currently ranked as the 4th best team in the world, while Italy sit in 12th, highlighting a perceived gulf in class between the two countries.

The current Rugby World Cup form tells somewhat of a different story, though. New Zealand have played two matches so far, against France and Namibia, and have one win and one defeat. They lost their opening match of the competition 27-13 to France, while they completely outclassed Namibia 71-3. Italy, on the other hand, are sitting on two wins from two, having beaten Namibia 52-8 and Uruguay 38-17. Now, you might point out that Italy have played the two weakest opponents in Pool A, but they are still in good form.

This is a must-win game for both nations, so I do not imagine that New Zealand will take the Italians lightly. They will field their strongest possible team and look to win with plenty to spare. Italy are improving all of the time, but if the All Blacks play to the best of their ability, I do not see Italy having what it takes to cope with their attacking verve. I feel that New Zealand will go on and win this match by at least 30 points.

My New Zealand v Italy winner prediction: New Zealand to win!

new-zealand-flag new-zealand-flag

✔️ New Zealand v Italy Betting Tips

Now in this sports betting guide, I am going to give you some tips that you can think about if you decide to make a rugby prediction for this New Zealand vs Italy match. Before I give you these tips, I would like to remind you of the importance of always gambling responsibly – set a budget and never gamble more than you can afford to potentially lose.

1️⃣ Match Winner: New Zealand to Win

My tip for the match winner market for this match is to completely forget about it. Even if you put down a large stake, you will still not make any sort of return worth talking about should the All Blacks go on to win. However, if you do want to bet on the winner, then William Hill are offering odds of 1.02.

2️⃣ Handicap Winner: New Zealand to Win (-28)

This is a market that intrigues me more. As I believe that New Zealand will win by more than 30 points, I would be tempted to give them a 28-point deficit at the start of the match - this would mean that they would need to end up winning by at least 29 points in order for you to claim a win. If they win by 28, the match would go down as a theoretical draw, and you would lose your wager.

If you want to bet on New Zealand to win with a -28-point handicap, then William Hill Sport are offering odds of 1.90 for them to do so. This means if you place £10 on this market, you will land yourself a nice return of £6.

3️⃣ The Match to Finish with Odd or Even Points

If you are looking for a fun market that relies solely on luck, then you might want to have a look at the odd/even market. With this type of bet, you need to predict whether the total number of points scored in a match will be an odd or even number. This is one of those markets where you have a 50/50 chance of getting it correct, but it adds some entertainment to the game, especially in the dying moments where a penalty or a drop-goal could decide your fate.

If you want to place a bet on the odd/even market, then Betiton are offering odds of 1.80 for either option.

🎁 New Zealand v Italy Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions

New betting sites and established ones have to offer a variety of free bets and other kinds of promotions in order to stick out and attract new punters. Thus, there are plenty of free bets that British punters can get their hands on and use to bet on this New Zealand vs Italy match.

In the following table, I have provided you with some of the best rugby betting promotions around at the moment, and if you like the look of any and want to find out more about the bookmaker in question, the simply click the brand logo, and you will be taken to our in-depth review of that sports betting site.

Match Promotions

William Hill
Odds :

18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code BB40 only, Min €10/£10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 4 x €10/£10, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full Terms & Conditions. #ad


18+ New UK + IRE customers. Paypal and certain deposit types and bet types excluded. Min 5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4 x 5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days on sports, stake not returned, restrictions apply.


18+ | New UK & NI customers only. Promo code ‘SPORTS60’. Deposit & place first sports bet of £10+ in one bet transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0) +. settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement, 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Justice League Comics. 7-day expiry. | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply.

Odds :

18+ | Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: €15, max €10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. | System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply.

Odds :

18+ | New Players only. The Bonus must be claimed within 30 days from the date it was credited to an Eligible Player’s account. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. |


18+ | New customers only. Min stake €/£10 | 30 days to qualify | Payment method restrictions exist | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply.

Odds :
€15+ €15 in Free Spin

18+ | 1st depositors only. Place a £30 qualifying sports bet which must settle within 7 days of registration & receive £15 in Free sports Bets & £15 in Free Spins (Casino & Vegas). | Payment method limitations & wagering req. exist | Cashed out/voided bets do not qualify | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply.

Double The Odds

18+ | UK 1st depositors only (NI excl.). Mobile Exclusive. Bet £10+ on sports & select 100% odds boost to get double the odds.('Double the odds' refers to fractional odds only) Wagering req. apply: min odds of 2 | Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply | 30 days to qualify | Payment method restrictions exist | Play Responsibly | Terms and Conditions apply.


Terms and conditions apply. All terms can be found on each bookmaker's respective website.

📰 Rugby World Cup News for New Zealand v Italy

You can discover the latest team news for each team by having a look on their Twitter pages below:

🥝 New Zealand News

🛵 Italy News

📺 Previous New Zealand v Italy Highlights

Below you can find highlights from the last time that these two teams met on the rugby field:

⚡ RWC New Zealand v Italy Prediction Overview

1️⃣ When is New Zealand v Italy kick-off?

Kick off for this match between New Zealand and Italy will take place at 20:00 GMT on the 29th of September. The match will be taking place at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu.

2️⃣ Who is my New Zealand v Italy winner?

In my opinion, there is only one winner for this New Zealand vs Italy match, and that is the All Blacks. I am backing them to go on and win the match by at least 30 points.

3️⃣ What are some New Zealand v Italy betting tips?

There are plenty of markets that British rugby fans can put their hard-earned money on for this New Zealand v Italy match, but my betting tips are as follows:

  1. Match winner betting tip: New Zealand to win at 1.02 at William Hill.
  2. Handicap betting tip: New Zealand to win (-28) at 1.90 at William Hill.

4️⃣ Can I get free bets for New Zealand v Italy?

Yes, nowadays all of the top bookmakers offer their punters a range of free bets that they can claim, and you can find all of the best ones in my prediction above. When it comes to any kind of sports betting bonus, always make sure that you take the time to read the T&Cs very carefully.

New Zealand to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This New Zealand vs Italy prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, having been so since the age of five. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a good number of years now and has written many predictions and guides for a wide of sports, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.