Tournament | 2023 Rugby World Cup |
Timetable | 16:45 GMT 7th October |
Prediction | England to win |
Odds | England to Win @ 1.05 |
Bookmaker | William Hill |
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Match prediction 36 of 48 of our Rugby World Cup 2023 betting series.

England's final match of Pool D sees them take on Samoa on the 7th of October at the Stade Pierre Mauroy in Lille. The match is scheduled to kick-off at 16:45, so make sure that you are free at this time as I reckon this is going to be a quality match.
Ireland's Andrew Brace will be the main man officiating this match, while his compatriot, Chris Busby, and Georgia's Niki Amashukeli will be running up and down the touchlines. Brian MacNiece, also from Ireland, will be the TMO for the day.
England have already guaranteed top spot in the group, but they will want to take momentum into the knockout stages next week. Samoa have no chance of making it through - even if Argentina and Japan drew and Samoa managed to win by a bonus point, they would be eliminated on head-to-head as they lost to both the Japanese and the Argentinians. So, yeah, Samoa only have pride to play for. Read on to find out who I think will come out on top.
💯 England v Samoa Betting Odds Rugby World Cup
Below I have provided you with odds tables that five top bookmakers are offering for three common rugby betting markets. If you want to find out more information about any of these bookies, you can do so by visiting our in-depth bookmaker reviews page.
🥇 England v Samoa Match Winner Odds
In truth, there have not been that many competitive games so far at this Rugby World Cup, but this hard-hitting Samoan team should not be pushovers for England. This could end up being a very fiery and competitive match, something that this tournament really needs.
The bookmakers, as you can see from the table below, have England as the heavy favourites, but I think it will be a closer match than the odds would suggest.
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
England | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.05 | 1.03 | 1.03 |
Tie | 27.50 | 27.50 | 34.00 | 41.00 | 34.00 |
Samoa | 9.70 | 9.70 | 9.00 | 6.80 | 15.00 |
➕ England v Samoa Handicap 3-Way Odds
If you do not like the match winner odds, for whatever reason, you can try to make them more favourably to you by making use of the 3-way handicap betting option - here you can give one of the teams a points advantage or disadvantage to alter their odds.
Below are some 3-way handicap betting odds for this England v Samoa match:
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
England (0-20) | *-* | 1.91 | - | 1.91 | |
England (0-21) | 1.88 | 1.88 | - | - | - |
Draw (0-20) | *-* | 17.00 | - | 21.00 | |
Draw (0-21) | 18.00 | 18.00 | - | - | - |
Samoa (0-20) | *-* | 1.91 | - | 2.00 | |
Samoa (0-21) | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | - | - |
🏮 England v Samoa Asian Handicap Odds
With 3-way handicap betting, there is still the possibility of a draw, which could end up turning your bet into a losing one. If you want to eradicate the draw possibility, then Asian handicap betting allows you to do that. Below you can find the Asian handicap odds for this game:
Team | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
England (-20.5) | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | 1.75 | 1.90 |
Samoa (+20.5) | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | 1.76 | 1.90 |
The odds are correct at time of writing. For updated odds, check out respective sites.
🔍 England v Samoa Winner Prediction
England are currently ranked as the 6th best team in the world, while Samoa are sitting down in 12th place - the rankings would suggest a big gulf in class, but we all know how good the Samoans can be on their day, especially when they are playing with full passion and pride. England might have topped the group, but they have not been at their best, and Samoa will be quietly confident about being able to cause them plenty of problems with their physicality. Samoa have never beaten England in eight attempts, but Steve Borthwick's men will have to be on point to come through this one with their winning streak intact.
I think England's quality will come through in the end, and they will pull away in the last quarter of the match to win by a comfortable 15 points.
✔️ England v Samoa RWC Betting Tips
I will now use this online betting guide to provide you with some betting tips for this game - please always gamble responsibly, no matter what it is that you are betting on.
1️⃣ Match Winner: England to Win
The odds for an England win are really not worth your time and effort as they are so short. So, due to these short odds, I would not consider betting on the match winner. However, if, for whatever reason, you want to place a match winner bet, then William Hill are offering odds of 1.05 for an England win.
2️⃣ Handicap Winner: Samoa to Win (-20.5)
I believe that England will go on to win this match by around 15 points, so I would be tempted to give Samoa a -20.5 handicap, meaning that England would have to beat them by 21 points in order for you to lose such a bet. I do not see this happening.
If you would like give Samoa a -20.5 Asian handicap, then head over to *Spreadex-Sports [Spreadex Sports]* as they are currently offering odds of 1.90 for this market.
3️⃣ Winning Margin
I like the winning margin market as the odds are often quite enticing as it is hard to correctly predict the points range that the winning team will win the match bet. I think England could win this game by around 15 points, so I would be tempted by the odds of 6.00 that Spreadex Sports are offering for England to come out on top by 11-15 points.
🎁 England v Samoa Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions
Let me now provide you with some top free bets that some new betting sites and experienced ones are offering their bettors. Before you claim any kind of bonus, take a few minutes to carefully read the T&Cs that apply.
Match Promotions
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📰 Rugby World Cup News for England v Samoa
The latest team news can be found on the following Twitter feeds:
🌹 England News
🌋 Samoa News
⚡ RWC England v Samoa Prediction Overview
1️⃣ When is the England v Samoa kick-off?
This match is scheduled to kick off at 16:45 at the Stade Pierre Mauroy in Lille.
2️⃣ Who is my England v Samoa winner?
I feel that this will be a closer match than the odds would otherwise suggest, but I think that England will eventually come out on top by around 15 points.
3️⃣ What are some England v Samoa betting tips?
Below are some of my betting tips for this match:
- Winning margin: England to win by 11-15 points at 6.00 at Spreadex.
- Asian handicap betting tip: Wales to win (-20.5) at 1.90 at Spreadex.
4️⃣ Can I get free bets for England v Samoa?
Yes, you will have many different free bet options for you to choose from, with some of the best being offered by the likes of LeoVegas, BetUK, Kwiff, and William Hill. When you are choosing any free bet, it is important to read all of the main T&Cs that apply.
✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This England vs Samoa prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.
Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, having been so since the age of five. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a good number of years now and has written many predictions and guides for a wide of sports, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.
You can read more of my predictions below:
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- Argentina v Chile Pool D RWC 2023
- New Zealand v Italy Pool A RWC 2023
- Scotland v Romania Pool B RWC 2023
- Australia v Portugal Pool C RWC 2023
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- Japan v Argentina Pool D RWC 2023
- Tonga v Romania Pool B RWC 2023
- Fiji v Portugal Pool C RWC 2023
- Wales v Argentina Quarter-Final 1 RWC 2023
- Ireland v New Zealand Quarter-Final 2 RWC 2023
- England v Fiji Quarter-Final 3 RWC 2023
- France v South Africa Quarter-Final 4 RWC 2023
- Argentina v New Zealand Semi-Final 1 RWC 2023
- England v South Africa Semi-Final 2 RWC 2023
- Argentina v England Bronze Final RWC 2023
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