Wales vs Australia Prediction – Autumn Internationals 2022: Who Will Win?

Wales vs Australia Wales vs Australia
TournamentAutumn Internationals 2022
TimetableSaturday 26th of November 2022 at 15.15 GMT
PredictionWales to Win
Odds1.73 (Bet £‎100 and Receive £‎173 if Wales wins)
Wales to Win
The best odds
Odds : 1.73
If Wales wins, you will receive 1.73 x 100 = £173
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Lad​brokes Sports
Odds : 1.73
If Wales wins, you will receive 1.73 x 100 = £173

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Betfred Sports
Odds : 1.67
If Wales wins, you will receive 1.67 x 100 = £167

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The final week of Rugby Autumn Internationals also brings the last chance for the Welsh or Australians to possibly get some last-minute glory before the tournament ends. The big question is who will hold the James Bevan trophy after Saturday and end the year with a better resume? Which team will give the impression that they are already preparing for the 2023 Rugby World Cup, and which will make their fans think they are behind on their training? Let's try to find out who has the best chance of winning this weekend in case you want to do some Rugby Union betting.

Which of these two top-ten-nations will get the win in this Wales vs Australia Autumn Test 2022? Let's start our prediction with the basics by looking at what history tells us about the potential outcome of this matchup.

Nations Number
Wales Winning 30
Australia Winning 13
Draws 1

This historical statistic does not put Australians in a very good light. Considering the numbers, it appears that the Welsh are unlikely to engage in a real battle. Let's take a look at what their more recent matches tell us though.

Match Time Place Result Winner
Wales vs Australia November 20th, 2021 Cardiff, Principality Stadium 29–28 Wales
Australia vs Wales September 29th, 2019 Chōfu, Tokyo Stadium 25–29 Wales
Wales vs Australia November 10th, 2018 Cardiff, Principality Stadium 9–6 Wales
Wales vs Australia November 11th, 2017 Cardiff, Principality Stadium 21–29 Australia
Wales vs Australia November 5th, 2016 Cardiff Principality Stadium 8–32 Australia

History can show us many things, but when it comes to sports, we think more recent matches carry more weight because they indicate the state of the team at the moment. Of the last five Wales vs Australia matches, three have ended in victory for Wales, two for the Wallabies. This shows two things. First, that the Aussies have two relatively recent jubilations after a match against Wales. The second thing we can conclude, however, outlines a not-so-pretty trend for the Wallabies, namely that they seem to be steadily losing form, bearing in mind that the last three games have brought glory to the Welsh.

Rank Shift Nation Points
1 0 Ireland 90.63
2 0 France 90.01
3 0 New Zealand 88.98
4 0 South Africa 88.01
5 0 England 84.62
6 +3 Scotland 81.55
7 -1 Argentina 80.72
8 0 Australia 80.64
9 -2 Wales 79.26
10 0 Japan 77.39
11 +1 Samoa 76.03
12 -1 Italy 75.95
13 +1 Georgia 75.19
14 -1 Fiji 74.84
15 0 Tonga 71.21

The Rugby World Rankings show that Australia is one place higher than Wales. The standings during the Autumn Nations Cup 2022 have changed many times, so in this case Wales v Australia is unlikely to be a very accurate indicator, no matter which side.

🏠 Overview of Wales

In the Welsh's first outing in the Autumn Nations Series against New Zealand, no one was holding out hope that they would be able to overcome the Kiwis. There was clearly a reason as Wales suffered a heavy 23-55 defeat.

After the fiasco with New Zealand, the game against Argentina brought a ray of light for the Welsh, who surprisingly won 20-13.

The slightest hint of a revival, however, was crushed after a 12-13 loss to Georgia. One win from three games is certainly not the result Wales were hoping for at the start of the tournament. But in the end what matters is who wins the war, not the battle.

⭐ Wales Players to Watch

Player Position Caps for Wales Club Team
Taulupe Faletau Back row 93 Cardiff
Alun Wyn Jones Lock 154 Ospreys
Leigh Halfpenny Fullback 96 Scarlets

✈️ Overview of Australia

If Wales are not at their best, then Australia look downright pathetic. After narrowly beating Scotland 15-16, they suffered three successive heavy defeats, failing to beat even Italy.

The French beat them 30-29, the Italians 28-27, and the Irish 13-10. What does three losses in four games look like? Not very well.

It is clear that neither Wales nor Australia is in good form, but still, the Welsh fuse is clearly not as burnt out as the Australians.

⭐ Australia Players to Watch

Player Position Caps for Australia Club Team
Bernard Foley Fly-half 76 Kubota Spears
Noah Lolesio Fly-half 17 Brumbies
Allan Alaalatoa Prop 63 Brumbies

💯 Wales vs Australia Betting Odds

Let’s have a look at some of the best Wales vs Australia odds from new UK betting sites for this Autumn rugby match.

⚡ Best Match Winner Odds

We have prepared for you a table with the best match-winner rugby odds available at betway, LeoVegas Sports, Betfred and, ladbrokes.

betway-logo betway-logo
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betfred-logo betfred-logo
ladbrokes-logo ladbrokes-logo
Wales to Win1.731.551.671.73
Australia to Win2.302.402.382.25

🥇 Who Will Win? Wales vs Australia Prediction

Undoubtedly, this year's Autumn International Series offered rugby fans plenty of exciting matches. The upcoming Wales vs Australia game is sure to bring plenty of tension. It will be a grueling battle, of will and psychological qualities, not so much of physical skills, as the strengths of the two teams at the moment seem fairly even. Probably the first team to succumb to the pressure will be the loser.

As hard as it is for us, it's time to decide the eventual winner to give you the opportunity to enjoy some free bet no deposit options.

We think Wales have a better chance of winning as if they lose again their manager Wayne Pivac might be out of a job as we doubt the fans will forgive him another defeat.

That is why we are tipping Wales as the winner, even though it is not expected to rain this weekend, meaning the Welsh will not have an advantage over Australia when it comes to the weather conditions:

  • The Welsh will be the hosts.
  • Three of the last five Wales v Australia matches have been won by the Welsh, giving them a slight lead.
  • Wayne Pivac will want to ensure victory for his team due to the pressure and the possibility of another coach taking his place.

Wales to Win