Wales vs France: Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby Six Nations

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Tournament2024 Six Nations
Timetable15.00 GMT - 10th Mar 24
PredictionFrance to win
Bookmaker10bet Sport
France to win
The best odds
10​bet Sport
Odds : 1.40
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Odds : 1.40
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12 of 15 of our Six Nations Betting Predictions.

Written by Steven Brown.

Prediction accuracy 2024: ✔️ 77.78%

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Our last Six Nations round four match will be Wales vs France. Neither team comes into this clash with a great record, but fans at the Principality will hope that changes for Wales when the action kicks off at 3 p.m. on Sunday.

Refereeing this game will be Luke Peace, assisted by Damian Schneider and Andrew Brace. Taking up the role of the TMO will be Ian Tempest.

What may have been pegged as a hell of a game prior to the start of the competition may have somewhat diminished in the eyes of rugby fans after the results of both sides so far. Nonetheless, I think there is plenty to discuss about this clash, so let us get started with my Wales vs France prediction.

💯 Wales vs France Betting Odds Six Nations

Those looking to get in a bet on the last Six Nations game of the week will be interested to see what top rugby bookmakers are offering in terms of odds. I have got your back on that one. Check out the sections below to see what is in store.

🥇 Wales vs France Match Winner Odds

The bookies have Wales as clear underdogs for this game, but as you can see from the table, France's odds to win are perhaps longer than some would expect. What do you think of the odds below?


➕ Wales vs France Handicap 3-Way Odds

My favourite bookies have a range of handicap options available, and I have presented highlights of some of the best options in the table below.


🏮 Wales vs France Asian Handicap Odds

A few of you may be determined that this is going the way of France, but what is your thinking with a hypothetical points advantage chucked in? Discover what Asian handicap odds you can claim below.

Wales (+8.5)---1.661.66
Wales (+6.5)1.801.80-1.901.90
Wales (+5.5)--1.91--
Wales (+4.5)---2.162.16
France (-8.5)---2.162.16
France (-6.5)1.821.82-1.901.90
France (-5.5)--1.80--
France (-4.5)---1.661.66

Odds are accurate at the time of writing. Odds are subject to change.

🔍 Wales vs France Winner Prediction

Like the colour scheme of every '90s/2000s video game, we have the red team and the blue team about to do battle. Only one team can walk away with one more W, but which will it be? As per usual, let us break down the key statistics to see if we can predict our winner.


103 matches adorn the history books, with Wales having won 51 of them, France having won 49, and there having been 3 drawn matches. That may suggest a bit of a 50-50 game at first, but when you consider that France have smashed Wales in five out of five of their last games, we might be putting together a different picture. I think the mutual history points to a French win.

Last Performances

Wales MatchesResult
Wales v Scotland26-27
England v Wales16-14
Ireland v Wales31-7
France MatchesResult
France v Ireland17-38
Scotland v France16-20
France v Italy13-13

Neither side has had anywhere near their best performances in this tournament, but out of the two, France have at least seen glimmers of hope with two undefeated games - albeit one being a draw against Italy. On recent form, there is no way that Wales's three losses match up, so I think this factor very much points to a French win.

World Rankings

Wales have just about managed to hang on to eighth position, but France look very much in the driving seat for this game in fourth. This is just another tick in the box for Les Bleus.

Home Advantage

There is usually fantastic support at the Principality, which should help lift Wales's game. I can see an advantage to the Welsh from playing at home, but will this be enough of a factor to overturn what seems an inevitable drubbing? I do not think that will be the case.


The forecast is saying that it should be around 12°C on the day. The continental Europeans may turn up their noses at the cold, but not enough that they will let it affect their game. The weather should not be of benefit to either side.

Game Play Styles

Warren Gatland has not proved a worthy Head Coach since the start of his second tenure, and there may be a worry in the Welsh camp that this will lead to another competition where he builds a record losing streak with his side. What Wales do have in their kicking game can be an effective weapon, but we have not seen this proficiency translate to many points on the board so far.

France have fantastic all-round play - especially in their defence, ironically developed by the former coach for Wales, Shaun Edwards. I expect Les Bleus will offer great power in the front before transitioning to their idiosyncratic flair in their backs play.

With the style of play that Wales have shown in three miserable tests, I imagine that French winger Damian Penaud will be eyeing up a few more tries for his career tally. On game play, I can not see past France winning.

Winner Summary

One team, by their own standards, have had an appalling year in the Six Nations. Then we have Wales. I think France will not post a cricket score, but I can still see them taking this one by nine points.

🏉 France to win by 9 points!

✔️ Wales vs France Betting Tips

I have a few thoughts on how I would bet on this one. See if you feel I am onto something below.

1️⃣ Match Winner: France to Win

I think this is going to be a smooth challenge for France, and at odds of 1.40 at 10Bet Sport, I would be tempted to put a few pennies on this market. Let us just hope the French are fired up enough not to give up a draw to a much lesser team this time around.

2️⃣ Asian Handicap Winner: xxx (-xx.5)

I am going to give myself very little leeway with a suggestion of France (-8.5) to win, given I think the match will end with a 9-point difference, but at odds of 2.16 at All British Sport, I like the look of the potential return. Just be cautious if you fancy following this tip, and remember to bet responsibly.

🎁 Wales vs France Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions


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📰 Six Nations News for Wales vs France on X

Find out the latest team news for Wales vs France by visiting their X (formerly known as Twitter) feeds below.

🐉 Wales Updates

🐓 France Updates

📺 2023 Wales vs France Highlights

Interested in catching up on last year's Wales vs France Six Nations match? Check out the video below for highlights!

⚡ Six Nations Wales vs France Prediction at a Glance

1️⃣When will Wales vs France kick off?

Kick-off for this Wales vs France match will be 3.00 GMT on the 10th of March 2024.

2️⃣ Where will Wales vs France be played?

This Wales vs France match will take place at Twickenham in London.

3️⃣ Who is my Wales vs France winner?

I think that Wales will come out on top in this match, and I predict that they will go on to win by 9 points.

4️⃣ What are some Wales vs France betting tips?

  1. Match winner tip: odds of 1.40 at 10Bet Sport.
  2. Handicap tip: odds of 2.16 at All British Sport.

5️⃣Can I use free bets for Wales vs France?

Yes, there are free bets that you can for this Wales vs France match. You can find out more in our Rugby Betting Promotions section above. As always, please make sure to read the terms and conditions before claiming any offer.

France to win

✒️ Steven Brown - Sports Writer and Rugby Expert

Steven Brown

This prediction was written by Steven Brown.

In 2023, 81.71% of my predictions were correct.