France vs Italy: Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - Rugby Six Nations

france-vs-italy-2024-six-nations france-vs-italy-2024-six-nations
Tournament2024 Six Nations
Timetable15:00 GMT - 25th Feb 24
PredictionFrance to win
Odds1.01
BookmakerAllbritish Sport
The best odds
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9 of 15 of our Six Nations Betting Predictions.

Written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Prediction accuracy 2024: ✔️ 83.33%

france-vs-italy-2024-six-nations france-vs-italy-2024-six-nations

The last 2024 Six Nations match of Round Three sees Italy head to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy Stadium in Lille to take on France. The kick-off has been scheduled for 15:00 GMT on the 25th of February.

England's Christophe Ridley will be the referee on the day, while he will be supported by Matthew Carley (England) and Craig Evans (Wales) on the touchlines. The man in charge of the TMO is Ian Tempest (England).

France have been somewhat out of sorts at this Six Nations and are clearly missing the influence of Antoine Dupont, so they will be eager to remind us why they were one of the favourites for last year's World Cup. Italy, on the other hand, will want to prove that it is not just a one-horse race for the wooden spoon like it usually is. So, who will go on to claim the Giuseppe Garibaldi Trophy? Find out in my prediction below.

💯 France v Italy Betting Odds Six Nations

There is a wide range of rugby betting markets that British rugby fans can decide to place their hard-earned cash on, and the variation on offer is what helps make rugby betting such a popular pastime. However, the three markets that many punters opt to focus on include the match winner, 3-way handicap, and the Asian handicap.

Below I have given you five quality bookies that are offering these markets ahead of this France v Italy match. If you want to find out more about any of these bookmakers, then just click on the brand logo that I have provided in the table. You will then get sent to our bookmaker reviews page.

🥇 France v Italy Match Winner Odds

It will probably not come as a big surprise to you to find out that some bookmakers are not even offering odds for a France win, while those that do have odds that are as short as a hobbit that has just been cut in half by an orc. Italy have beaten France before, but it is easy to see why barely anyone is expecting a repeat of such a feat this time around. Below are the match winner odds for this Italy vs France match:

Team
FranceN/AN/AN/A1.011.01
Draw40.0040.0041.0051.0051.00
Italy22.7522.7517.0014.0014.00

➕ France v Italy Handicap 3-Way Odds

If you want to put some money on a France win but are not interested in odds of 1.01, then one way that you can go about doing exactly that is by checking out the 3-way handicap betting options. If you give a team a handicap, you are opting to give them a points disadvantage ahead of kick-off. Below you can see the best 3-way handicap betting odds for this 2024 Six Nations clash:

Team
France(0-26)--1.911.861.86
France(0-27)1.851.85---
France(0-32)---2.622.62
France(0-38)---4.254.25
Draw(0-26)--17.0018.0018.00
Draw(0-27)17.6017.60---
Draw(0-32)---31.0031.00
Draw(0-38)---41.0041.00
Italy(0-26)--1.912.002.00
Italy(0-27)1.841.84---
Italy(0-32)---1.481.48
Italy(0-38)---1.201.20

🏮 France v Italy Asian Handicap Odds

If you decide to give France a 32-point handicap and they win the match by 32 points, then your wager will be a losing one as your bookie will classify the game as a draw. You can get rid of the chances of a draw when you are handicap betting by making use of Asian handicap odds. Below are the Asian handicap options for this France vs Italy game.

Team
France (-25.5)--1.80--
France (-26.5)1.781.78-1.851.85
France(-28.5)---2.102.10
France(-30.5)---2.402.40
Italy (+25.5)--1.91--
Italy (+26.5)1.841.84-1.941.94
Italy(+28.5)---1.701.70
Italy(+30.5)---1.551.55

Odds are accurate at the time of writing. Odds are subject to change.

🔍 France v Italy Winner Prediction

The bookies have marked this down as a David vs Goliath counter, but do the Italians have any chance of upsetting the odds? Well, in this section of my prediction, we are going to look at some key predictors.

History

France and Italy have played against each other 48 times, with France winning 45 times to Italy's 3. Now, three might not sound like too many, but it is three times more than they have beaten England. History is certainly pointing to a France win, but I think it could be closer than what the bookies are thinking. France won by just five points last year, so this is something to keep in mind.

Last Performances

France MatchesResult
France vs Ireland17-38
Scotland vs France16-20
Italy MatchesResult
Italy vs England24-27
Ireland vs Italy36-0

There was a bit of a shock in France in week one when Ireland turned up at the Orange Vélodrome and walked away with their biggest-ever win against the French. France then got lucky in week two when Scotland had a try disallowed right at the death when it looked like they had grounded the ball on the line.

Italy, as expected, have lost their first two matches of the campaign. They put in a solid performance against England at the Stadio Olimpico before they were thrashed in Dublin the following week.

France might not be playing to the best of their ability, but they are still a quality team on their day. The same really cannot be said of Italy. Thus, recent performances also point to a home win.

World Rankings

France are currently sitting in 4th place in the rankings, while Italy are sitting in 11th place. This goes to show the gulf in class that exists between the two teams as the rankings are based on recent performances over the last 12 months or so.

Home Advantage

Although this match will not be taking place at the Stade de France, they will still be properly supported in Lille as the French love their rugby. If France, at any point, do fall a bit flat against Italy, then their fans will make it known and will spur them on.

Weather

The weather is set to be around 8°C with a decent chance of rain. Neither side should mind playing in the rain, but there will be a rejig in styles if it is wet. As usual for such conditions, we will see a match dominated by the forwards.

Game Play Styles

These two teams will be playing different styles of rugby. We all know the flair that the French can have when at their best, but they are also pretty adept at doing the dirty work and forcing their opponents into making mistakes with the ball that they would usually not make.

Italy have tried to adopt some of the French flair, and they showed glimmers of it against England during the opening weekend of the tournament. However, they will need quick-thinking as well as flair to breach a defence that has been very well drilled by Shaun Edwards, and I do not see them making too many line breaks.

With this in mind, I think that France's gameplay will come out trumps on Sunday afternoon.

Winner Summary

As an Englishman, I would love Italy to turn France over for a fourth time, but it just is not going to happen. The French have better quality all over the pitch, and they will run out comfortable winners in the end. I think it will be closer than what many bookies are expecting though, and I am going to back France to win by 15.

🏉 France to win by 15 points!

✔️ France v Italy Betting Tips

In this section of my France vs Italy betting guide, I am going to give you some betting advice for this match. The first tip, however, that I need to give you is to always remember to gamble within your means and never get into the habit of chasing your losses.

1️⃣ Match Winner: France to Win

I am 100% certain that France will go on and win this game, but the odds really are not worth entertaining at all. I know how enticing long odds can be, so my advice for this match is to not get drawn in by the odds that are being offered for a draw or an Italy win. You might as well just throw your money down the drain if you bet on those outcomes.

However, if you want to go against my sound advice and still bet on France to win, then you can find odds of 1.01 at All British Sports.

2️⃣ Asian Handicap Winner: Italy (+25.5)

Since I think that France will win this match by around 15 points, I see plenty of value in giving Italy a +25.5 points advantage ahead of kick-off. This means that if they lose by fewer than 26 points, your bookie will mark it down as a theoretical win. You can currently find odds of 1.91 at 10Bet Sport.

3️⃣ Winning Margin

In my view, it is always worth having a look at the winning margin market due to the long odds that are usually on offer. As I feel that France will win by 15, Betiton Sport's odds of 9.30 for France to win by 11-15 points is something that entices me.

🎁 France v Italy Free Bets and Rugby Betting Promotions

New betting sites, as well as established ones, will offer their punters a variety of top rugby betting promotions as they know that this is the best way to stand out in such a saturated market. With all of the different bonuses to choose from, I know that it can be hard to find the best one for you. Therefore, to help you out a little, below are the top free bets that rugby bettors in the UK can currently choose from.


Match Promotions

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📰 Six Nations News for France v Italy on X

Find out the latest team news for France and Italy by visiting their X (formerly known as Twitter) feeds below.

🐓 France Updates

🛵 Italy Updates

📺 2023 France v Italy Highlights

Want to cast your mind back as to what happened the last time that these two teams met in the Six Nations? If yes, then check out the highlights package below:

⚡ Six Nations France v Italy Prediction at a Glance

1️⃣When Will France vs Italy Kick-Off?

Kick-off for this France vs Italy match will be 15:00 GMT on the 25th of February 2024.


2️⃣ Where will France v Italy be played?

This France vs Italy match will take place at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille.


3️⃣ Who is my France v Italy winner?

I think that France will come out on top in this match, and I predict that they will go on to win by 15 points.


4️⃣ What are some France v Italy betting tips?

  1. Winning Margin Tip: France to win by 11-15 points at 9.30 at Betiton Sport.
  2. Asian handicap betting tip: Italy to win (+25.5) at 1.91 at 10Bet Sport.

5️⃣Can I Use Free Bets for France vs Italy?

Yes, you will have plenty of free bets that you can make use of when betting on this France vs Italy match, and you can see some of the top options in the "Rugby Betting Promotions" section above. As always, please make sure that you read the terms and conditions before you put down any wagers.


✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

about-author-sheldon about-author-sheldon

This France vs Italy Six Nations prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.