England vs New Zealand Prediction – Autumn Internationals 2022: Who Will Win?

England v New Zealand England v New Zealand
TournamentAutumn Nations Series 2022
Timetable19th November 2022 17:30 BST
PredictionNew Zealand to win
Odds1.67 (Bet £100 and win £167 if New Zealand wins)
New Zealand to win
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Odds : 1.67
If New Zealand win, you will receive £100 x 1.67 = £167
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Odds : 1.61
If New Zealand win, you will receive £100 x 1.61 = £161

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England began their Autumn nations series with a defeat against Argentina, which was a bit of a shock result for many rugby bettors around the world. They knew that after such a defeat they needed to bounce back with a win against the Japanese, and this is what they did, winning the match and putting 50 plus points on their opponent. Next up England have to take on the All Blacks at Twickenham on the 19th of November, and this should be a humdinger of a game. If you are tempted to do some rugby union betting on this game, then read this prediction of ours before you put down any money.

🏠 Overview of England

England will take to the field knowing that if they do not play at their very best in this Autumn rugby match then they will end up losing yet another rugby match this year, despite the fact that the All Blacks have not been playing at their best recently. New Zealand have played Wales and Scotland in their first two Rugby Autumn Internationals, and they have two wins to their name and will be looking to end on a high and make it three wins from three. While England showed glimpses of their best in their win against Japan, they were occasionally sloppy, and sloppiness will usually be punished by New Zealand.

After England's poor performance against the Pumas a few weeks ago, some punters might have been looking at putting a small bet on Japan to turn the English over, but those who did ended up losing their money because Jones' men were not in any type of mood to suffer another defeat. They picked up three tries in the first 40 minutes through Marcus Smith, Freddie Steward, and Guy Porter to land a 24/6 advantage at the interval. Many of those inside Twickenham, most of an English persuasion, probably thought the match was all but over.

If there were some that had some doubts, any lingering doubt was squashed not long after resumption when Ellis Genge bundled his way over the line to increase England's lead. Smith and Porter than added to their tallies, and England were even awarded a penalty try courtesy of some cynical play from the Japanese. Japan did manage to score a consolation try through Naoto Saito, but after solid performances against New Zealand and France earlier on in the year, they will not be pleased about how easy England found things at time.

England outplayed Japan in every aspect of the match, and the Japanese just did not know what to do in order to stop the onslaught. England's biggest win against the Japanese is a 60-7 win back at the Rugby World Cup in 1987, and were it not for a few bits of sloppiness from England, they probably would have gone on to rack up their biggest victory against Japan.

Eddie Jones and his men will know that the All Blacks are on a different planet to Japan, and that they are going to have to be at their best if they want to get a rare victory versus New Zealand. In all fairness, England's record against the All Blacks is really poor, with just eight wins from the 42 times that they have played each other. Below you can see the last five fixtures between England and New Zealand, and we decided to add these here because we do thing such information is handy when it comes to formulating bets.

  • New Zealand 28 England 27, Forsyth Barr Stadium, Dunedin, 2014 England Tour of New Zealand
  • New Zealand 36 England 13, Waikato Stadium, Hamilton, 2014 England Tour of New Zealand
  • England 21 New Zealand 24, Twickenham, London, 2014 Autumn International
  • England 15 New Zealand 16, Twickenham, London, 2018 Autumn International
  • England 19 New Zealand 7, Nissan Stadium, Yokohama, Japan, 2019 Rugby World Cup Semi-Final

👨‍💼 What the England Manager Said

Jones was very happy with most aspects of his team’s performance, and he was particularly happy with the focus that they showed throughout the mach. However, he was a bit frustrated because he felt that England left a few scores out there, which is something that can definitely not happen when they play the All Blacks in their next Autumn Nations Cup 2022 game.

When it comes down to this upcoming All Blacks game, Jones feels that the Kiwis are a bit vulnerable at this current moment in time and he believes that his team are more than capable of winning back-to-back matches against New Zealand after their previous win in the Rugby World Cup in 2019. England managed to play the All Blacks off the pitch on that day and book themselves a spot in the final against South Africa.

Jones is of the belief that if England get into the faces of the Al Blacks, then they will be vulnerable, and he has promised that this is just what they are going to do. If both England and New Zealand play at the top of their game for 80 minutes, then we are definitely going to have a spectacle on our hands. England have a meagre 19% winning percentage against New Zealand, and Jones and his players are eager to rewrite the history books once again. New Zealand play slightly differently now with Ian Foster at the helm, but the likes of Jamie George, Owen Farrell, Maro Itoje, and Billy Vunipola know what it takes to beat the All Blacks.

⭐ England Players to Watch

England have a huge pool of players to pick from when it comes to international rugby, so their squad is always one that has a lot of talent in it. Some of the best England players from the past include Jonny Wilkinson, Martin Johnson, Jason Robinson, Matt Dawson, Mike Tindall, and Mike Catt, and while we do not think the current England team has anyone that matches the calibre of these players, they still have some skilful players and below we have given you three of them.

PlayerPositionCaps for EnglandClub TeamStar Qualities
Freddie StewardFull Back13Leicester TigersVery pacey, good tackling skills, composed under high balls
Guy PorterCentre4Leicester TigersA nusiance at the breakdown, strong tackler, and has a good eye for a try
Marcus SmithFly-Half13HarlequinsTop passing skills, very good kicking ability, and really agile

✈️ Overview of New Zealand

New Zealand headed to Europe for their Autumn tests 2022 with quite a bit of pressure hanging over them due to a dip in form, but they did not let this pressure get to them as they scored eight tries against Wales in their first match and overcame a Scotland onslaught in their second to give themselves two wins on the bounce, and now they will be aiming to end their tour on a high with a win against England at Twickenham.

While the win against Wales was pretty comfortable in the end, they did not have everything their own way against Scotland for long periods of time. They did race into a 14-point lead, but a couple of quick tries and a Finn Russell penalty meant that Scotland entered the break with a surprising 17-14 lead and were only a half of rugby away from collecting their first win against the All Blacks.

This win got closer just after the break as Russell extended their lead with two penalties, and then with just 20 odd minutes left on the clock, there was a six-point gap. However, there was a big turning point in the game, and this was when Jack Dempsey found himself in the sin-bin - within minutes, New Zealand went over the whitewash, and they found themselves in the lead once again. The All Blacks then made sure of their 30th victory over the Scots when their debutant, Mark Telea, went over in the corner. Scotland have come close to beating New Zealand before, and this was another win that got away.

While they did enough to get the win in the end, they will know that a similar showing against England will end up with a loss. In the Scotland game they gave away over ten penalties, and Owen Farrell will punish such sloppiness if given the chance. The All Blacks, like any great team, hate to lose and they will be looking for a bit of revenge after having been knocked out of the last World Cup by England.

👨‍💼 What the New Zealand Manager Said

Ian Foster was immensely proud of his players for overcoming the brutal challenge that Scotland sent their way, and he was sure that this was a challenge that they would not has passed a little over 12 months ago. What he liked most from their performance was their composure under pressure, and he is certain that this backs-to-the-wall win will help them out when playing England at Twickenham. All in all, he feels that this is one of those Test wins that New Zealand can be very proud about and it highlights their growth in the last year.

Dalton Papalii was one of the players that Foster made sure to mention since he was Player of the Match and did a top job stepping in for Sam Cane, who is currently injured. During the game he made 14 tackles, was a nuisance at the breakdown, and carried the ball very well. When Cane hangs up his boots, it is safe to say that they have a very good replacement for him.

While the players will receive most the credit for this Test win, plenty of credit should go to Foster because he entered the Autumn tour knowing that a couple of defeats could be his downfall. Despite this, in the game against Scotland, he took a risk and turned to his bench players earlier than usual hoping that they would stem Scotland's momentum, and this is exactly what happened. It was a brave call, but one that worked really well.

⭐ New Zealand Players to Watch

New Zealand have always had quality players at their disposal, which is why they have always been one of the best rugby teams in the world. Despite their lack of form in some of their recent matches, this New Zealand squad is still full of talent, and below we have provided you a table with three Kiwi players to look out for when they take on England at HQ on Saturday.

PlayerPositionCaps for New ZealandClub TeamStar Qualities
Ardie SaveaFlanker or Number Eight68HurricanesVery pacey, strong tackler, and a pain at the breakdown
Jordie BarretFullback, Centre, Fly-Half, or Wing46TaranakiGreat kicking ability, an eye for the tryline, and calm when under pressure
Beauden BarrettFly-Half or Fullback110BluesTop passing skills, great kicking technique, and really good at gathering the high ball

💯England vs New Zealand Betting Odds

Us Brits are spoiled for choice when it comes to top bookies that we can register with in order to bet on big rugby matches such as England v New Zealand, and new UK betting sites are being created all of the time, increasing our choices further. While it is great to have plenty of choice, it can make it hard to find a top bookie with the best rugby odds for you.

However, you are in luck because below you can find the top odds that the best bookies are currently offering UK rugby betting fans for this England v New Zealand game.

England v New Zealand Rugby England v New Zealand Rugby
England to Win2.402.452.482.372.35
New Zealand to Win1.671.701.621.611.65

🥇 Who Will Win? England vs New Zealand Prediction

We expect this to be a pretty close game, with either team having the ability to go on and win it, and we feel that the winner will be the team that conceded fewer penalties. Both these sides have given away numerous penalties in their last two matches, and Farrell and Barrett will be ready to jump on any ill discipline. If you have a free bet no deposit that you want to make use of on this game, we recommend you put your money on New Zealand to come out on top in a close match.

Our match prediction: New Zealand to win.

New Zealand to win