Newcastle vs Manchester City: Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentPremier League
Timetable17:30 GMT - 13th Jan 24
PredictionManchester City to win
Odds1.53
BookmakerWilliam Hill
Manchester City to win
The best odds
Odds : 1.53
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Odds : 1.54
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Odds : 1.52
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Newcastle will welcome title-chasing Manchester City to St. James' Park on Saturday evening, and this is one of those Premier League matches that should offer plenty of entertainment, even for those who do not support either side. Newcastle can be very inconsistent, but when they are on it, they are a match for anyone. On the other hand, we are all aware as to how good Manchester City can be on their day. You can find out who I think will pick up the valuable three points in my prediction below.

🏆 Newcastle vs Manchester City - Who Will Win?

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Eddie Howe has been on cloud nine since he took over at Newcastle in 2021, leading them to the Champions League last season, but he is now going through his first rough patch. They have lost five of their last six matches, which puts them right at the bottom of the English Premier League form table, and this poor run of results has seen them drop to 9th in the table. This leaves them 11 points off Champions League qualification.

Manchester City were supposedly in a crisis when they lost to Aston Villa and drew with Tottenham and Crystal Palace, but real football fans knew this "blip" would not last too long. They have got their mojo back and are now just five points adrift of Liverpool at the top of the table. I would not be surprised if they now go on one of their winning runs which sees them go on to lift the title.

Newcastle United have won four of their previous five home matches, and are a much harder team to play against when they have 50,000 Geordies baying for blood. Manchester City, on the other hand, have three wins, a draw, and a loss from their last five away matches. Newcastle might be able to give City a bit of a scare, but I believe that the Club World Champions will come out on top. Since 2006, Newcastle have only beaten City once in the league.

My Prediction: 🏆 Newcastle 1 Manchester City 3 ⚽

💯 Newcastle vs Manchester City Match Odds

You can find a range of football markets at the top new UK betting sites and more established ones, but there are three that I focus on the most and these are the match winner, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals. Below I have given you the odds that five quality British bookmakers currently have available for these markets.

If you would like to find out more information about these bookmakers, such as the types of free bets that they have available, then click on the logos to be taken to our in-depth reviews.

Newcastle vs Manchester City: Match Winner Odds

Due to Newcastle's dip in form and their poor head-to-head record against Manchester City, it is not surprising that the away team are the favourites to win the match. You can find the match winner odds in the table below, and those who enjoy accumulators might find value in them.

Team
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Newcastle United5.305.305.504.505.25
Draw4.304.304.333.804.33
Manchester City1.521.521.531.501.54

Newcastle vs Manchester City: Both Teams To Score Odds

Manchester City are averaging 2.37 goals per match this season, while Newcastle are averaging just under two per match. Between them, they have scored 82 goals this campaign, so finding the back of the net has not been an issue for either of them. As a result, it is not a surprise that the bookies are backing both teams to score. You can see the Both Teams to Score odds in the following table:

Yes/No
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Yes1.641.641.611.651.66
No2.132.132.202.002.10

Newcastle vs Manchester City: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

With regard to the Over/Under 2.5 goals betting market, the bookmakers are favouring the over 2.5 goals option. This is understandable when you consider the number of goals both teams have scored this season. In the table below, you can find the over/under 2.5 goals odds that the best bookies are currently offering:

Under/Over
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Over 2.5 Goals1.571.571.601.561.57
Under 2.5 Goals2.232.232.252.202.25

✔️ Newcastle vs Manchester City - Betting Tips

I am now going to give you my top football betting tips for this Newcastle United vs Manchester City match.

  • Tip 1: Bet on City to win: The fact that Newcastle are at the bottom of the current English Premier League form guide is something that will worry the Geordie faithful. Eddie Howe probably wishes that this game came at the end of last year when Pep's men were going through a small blip, but everything seems to be back on track now, and they even have Kevin de Bruyne back from injury. For me, City should win this game, and William Hill are currently offering odds of 5.50 for them to win.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: Newcastle might not be picking up many points lately, but they have not been struggling to create chances and find the back of the net. Meanwhile, with the attacking talent that Manchester City have at their disposal, scoring goals is never an issue for them either. If you want to bet on BTTS, then Spreadex Sports are offering odds of 1.66.
  • Tip 3: Bet on Gordon to be booked: Betting on a player to be booked is a fun market, and if you are the type of punter that likes placing such a wager, then I suggest that you bet on Anthony Gordon to be booked. He likes to dive, show dissent, and put in a tackle, which is why he has 9 yellow cards this season. Betiton are offering odds of 2.95 for this market.

1️⃣ Newcastle Update

Newcastle were flying at the start of the season, and many were wondering whether they could keep it up when their Champions League fixtures came into play. The answer was no, and a host of injuries has seen their form and position in the table drop. Despite their alarming drop, they have not been playing too badly, and have scored more goals than 15 other teams in the league. Once their injured players return, they should start creeping up the table again, and finish with more European football next season.

Last 5 Premier League Games
Liverpool4
Newcastle4
01.01.24
Newcastle United1
Nottingham Forest3
26.12.23
Luton1
Newcastle0
23.12.23
Newcastle3
Fulham0
16.12.23
Tottenham4
Newcastle1
10.12.23

Eddie Howe and his team have had injuries galore, and they will still be missing many of their first-team players when Manchester City come to town. The absentees have been added to the following table:

PlayerReason
JoelintonKnock
Javi ManquilloGroin Injury
Callum WilsonCalf Injury
Joe WillockAchilles Tendon Injury
Jacob MurphyShoulder Injury
Nick PopeShoulder Injury
Elliot AndersonBack Injury
Matt TargettHamstring Strain
Harvey BarnesFoot Injury
Sandro TonaliMisconduct

2️⃣ Manchester City Update

When Manchester City dropped a few points just before Christmas, many pundits and fans were acting like it was the end of their season and that they were out of the title race. This was obviously a load of hyperbole as they are now just five points off top, with a game in hand. They have picked up 11 points from the last 15 that were on offer, which hardly constitutes a crisis to me. At some point every season, Man City go on some sort of extended winning run, Liverpool, Villa, and Arsenal fans will be quite anxious.

Last 5 Premier League Games
Manchester City2
Sheffield United0
30.12.23
Everton1
Manchester City3
27.12.23
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2
16.12.23
Luton Town1
2
10.12.23
Aston Villa1
Manchester City0
06.12.23

On the injury front, Pep Guardiola has far fewer absentees than Howe, and you can see who will be missing for Man City in the following table:

PlayerReason
Manuel AkanjiKnock
John StonesAnkle Injury
Erling HaalandAnkle Injury

👕 Newcastle vs Manchester City - Potential Lineups

Pos.Newcastle
4-3-3
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
Pos.
GoalkeeperM. DubravkaEdersonGoalkeeper
Right BackT. LivramentoK. WalkerRight Back
Centre BackF. ScharR. DiasCentre Back
Centre BackS. BotmanN. AkeCentre Back
Left BackD. BurnJ. GvardiolLeft Back
Right MidfielderL. MileyM. KovacicDefensive Midfielder
Centre MidfielderB. GuimaraesRodriDefensive Midfielder
Left MidfielderS. LongstaffB. SilvaRight Midfielder
Right WingJoelintonP. FodenCentre Midfielder
StrikerA. IsakJ. GrealishLeft Midfielder
Left WingA. GordonJ. AlvarezStriker

Manchester City to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

about-author-sheldonabout-author-sheldon

This Newcastle vs Manchester City prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.