Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips

manchester-city-vs-aston-villa-epl-prediction manchester-city-vs-aston-villa-epl-prediction
TournamentEnglish Premier League
Timetable20:15 GMT - 3rd APR 24
PredictionMan City to win
Odds1.29
Bookmaker10bet Sport
Man City to win
The best odds
1.
10​bet Sport
Odds : 1.29
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2.
Bet​UK Sports
Odds : 1.26
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3.
Leo​Vegas
Odds : 1.26
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The late kick-off on Wednesday evening sees Aston Villa head to the Etihad to take on Manchester City. If Villa get a surprise win, then they will take one step closer to qualifying for the Champions League for the first time in their history. Who would have thought Unai Emery's men would be sitting in 4th place in the table with just eight matches left to play when the Premier League started last August? Not many, that is for sure.

They have had a great season so far, and Manchester City, who are battling for the title, will definitely not take them lightly. Will City gain the win that everyone expects of them, or will Villa do the double over one of the best teams in the world? Keep on reading to find out the answer.

🏆 Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Who Will Win?

Manchester City had a big clash against Arsenal on Sunday, and many football fans would have been looking forward to this match. However, the hype was for nothing as it was the worst game of the weekend. Arsenal were clearly frightened of City and parked the proverbial bus to ensure that they travelled back to London with an extra point to their name. It was effective, but boy was it boring. City had most of the ball, but they could not just get past a tight Arsenal defence which has conceded the fewest goals in the league this season. They should have more chance against a less compact Villa defence.

Aston Villa had a big local derby match against Wolves on Saturday, and they passed the test with ease. They won the match 2-0, and at no point did it look like they were going to concede. Wolves did have several injury issues, but what everyone seems to forget is that Villa have had plenty of injuries of their own and are still battling it out for a place in next season's Champions League. The goals are being shared about, which makes them a very dangerous team to play against as their opponents cannot focus on stopping just the one player.

This should be an entertaining match, but even the most optimistic of Villa fans will probably not believe that they can turn City over on their own patch. Man City should win this one, and I am going to go with a 3-1 win for Pep's men. Although, as a Villa fan, I do hope that I am wrong on this one.

My Prediction: 🏆Man City 3 Aston Villa 1⚽

💯 Man City vs Aston Villa Match Odds

These two teams last met on the 6th of December and Villa came away with a rare win against City - it was their first win in 15 attempts. Emery's men won this match 1-0, but it was a much more dominant performance than what the scoreline would suggest. Pep's men only had two shots all match, while the 22 shots that Villa had were the most that City have faced in a single match since Guardiola took over. If Villa had won this match 4-0, it would not have been an unfair reflection of the dominance that they showed.

So what odds are some top established and new UK betting sites currently offering for this reverse fixture between two teams in the top four? Well, check out the tables below, and all will be revealed. These football betting odds are for the match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, and both teams to score.

🏅 Man City vs Aston Villa: Match Winner Odds

When you look at the match winner odds for this Man City vs Aston Villa game, you will see that the bookies are adamant that Man City will go on and pick up the win. In fact, Emery and his boys will probably feel a bit agitated by the high odds that the bookies have given them to be victorious - maybe they can use this as motivation ahead of the match. In my view, City's odds should be a little longer, but it is what it is. Below are the match winner odds:

Team
Man City1.261.261.291.261.26
Draw6.156.156.256.256.25
Aston Villa9.059.0510.0010.0010.00

⚽Man City vs Aston Villa: Both Teams To Score Odds

While my selected bookies are not giving Villa any chance of winning this match, they are at least giving them a chance of putting the ball into City's net. It is fair to say that Man City's defence has not been as solid as we have been used to in recent seasons, so there is every chance that a free-scoring Aston Villa team will breach their defence. You can find the odds for both teams to score below:

Team
Yes1.721.721.701.681.74
No2.052.052.052.002.05

🥅 Manchester City vs Aston Villa: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

How many goals do the bookmakers think will be scored in this Man City vs Aston Villa match? Well, when you check out the table below, you will see that they are adamant that there will be over 2.5 goals scored, while also being pretty certain that there will be under 3.5 goals. So, when you take the match winner and BTTS odds into the equation, the bookies believe City will win 2-1.

Team
Over 2.51.351.351.381.341.36
Under 2.52.932.933.002.882.90

✔️ Man City vs Aston Villa - Betting Tips

Take the time to check out some top betting tips from experienced football bettors before you dive in and place a wager on a match. At the end of the day, the more knowledgeable you are, the better your chances will be of putting down a winning wager, whether you are betting with your own money or some free bets. Below are my betting tips for this Man City vs Aston Villa game.

  • Tip 1: Bet on a City win: City are one of the best teams in the world, so this is definitely not going to be an easy feat for Villa. If they are to do the double over Man City, they will have to put in a 100% performance. They are missing some key players and do not have the squad depth that City have, so I think this match will ultimately end in a defeat for the away team. If you want to back City to win, then you can find odds of 1.29 at 10Bet Sport.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: Both teams have found the back of the net in 60% of City's home games and 67% of Aston Villa's away games, so it will not come as much of a surprise to see that I am backing BTTS in this game. Villa are averaging 1.9 goals per match over the previous ten rounds, while City are averaging 1.8 goals. If you think both teams will score, then BetUK Sports are offering odds of 1.74 at present.
  • Tip 3: Bet on Erling Haaland to score first: The main player that Villa's defence will be focussing on is Erling Halaand as the Norwegian is deadly when he is given a chance in front of goal. In 24 appearances for City this season, he has found the back of the net 18 times, which is better than anyone else in the league. LeoVegas Sports are currently offering 2.70 for him to break the deadlock.
  • Tip 4: Bet on City to win 3-1: Villa have the talent to cause City a range of issues, but City rarely lose at home and they have at least two quality players available in each position on the pitch. They will be expecting to win this match, but I do think Villa will find the back of the net. Those who want to back City to win 3-1 can find odds of 9.00 at Betiton Sport.

N.B. Always gamble responsibly by not spending more money than you can afford to potentially lose. Set a budget, and make sure that you stick to it.

1️⃣Manchester City Update

In December, Man City went on a little bit of a blip, but they have put that firmly behind them now and are well in the hunt for the EPL title. They are sitting in third place, three points adrift of Liverpool, who occupy the top spot. They will be disappointed to have drawn their last two games against Liverpool and Arsenal as they could have been sitting pretty at the top of the league heading into this match.

From their previous ten matches, they have won seven and drawn three, and this is a record that can only be bettered by the two teams above them. They will need to put the draws in the back pocket if they are to claim another EPL title. Below are their five previous results:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Manchester City0
Arsenal0
31.03.24
Liverpool1
Manchester City1
10.03.24
Manchester City3
Manchester United1
03.03.24
Bournemouth0
Manchester City1
24.02.24
Manchester City1
Brentford0
20.02.24

Pep Guardiola has three injury concerns, but he has quality cover in nearly every position so he will not be phased by these absentees. You can see their missing players below:

PlayerReason
EdersonThigh Injury
Nathan AkeCalf Injury
Kyle WalkerHamstring Strain

2️⃣Aston Villa Update

Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur are battling it out for the current remaining Champions League spot and, with the way that Spurs have been playing, Villa know that they need to win most of their remaining games. The Premier League might get an extra spot in the UCL this year, depending on how English teams fare in Europe, but Emery will not want to leave things to chance. With eight games left to play, Villa are just two points adrift of their points total from last season.

They are sitting in 6th place in the form table with five wins, two draws, and three defeats from their last ten matches. You can find more details of their previous five EPL matches below:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Aston Villa2
Wolves0
30.03.24
West Ham1
Aston Villa1
17.03.24
Aston Villa0
Tottenham Hotspur4
10.03.24
Luton Town2
Aston Villa3
02.03.24
Aston Villa4
Nottingham Forest2
24.02.24

Emery has more absentees than Pep, and he does not have the same squad depth that his opponents have at their disposal. Below you can find a list of the players that Villa will not be able to call upon on Wednesday evening:

PlayerReason
Boubacar KamaraKnee Injury
Emi BuendiaKnee Injury
Tyrone MingsKnee Injury
Jacob RamseyAnkle Injury
Matty CashThigh Injury
Kortney HauseKnee Injury
John McGinnRed Card Suspension

👕 Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Potential Lineups

Pos.Manchester City
4-1-4-1
Aston Villa
4-4-2-
Pos.
GoalkeeperS. OrtegaE. MartinezGoalkeeper
Right BackM. AkanjiE. KonsaRight Back
Centre BackR. DiasC. LengletCentre Back
Centre BackR. LewisP. TorresCentre Back
Left BackJ. GvardiolA. MorenoLeft Back
Centre MidfielderRodriL. BaileyRight Midfielder
Right MidfielderB. SilvaY. TielemansCentre Midfielder
Centre MidfielderK. De BruyneD. LuizCentre Midfielder
Centre MidfielderM. KovacicM. RogersLeft Midfielder
Left MidfielderP. FodenM. DiabyStriker
StrikerE. HaalandO. WatkinsLeft Wing

Man City to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Man City vs Aston Villa prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.

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