Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentEnglish Premier League
Timetable19:30 GMT - 31st Jan 24
PredictionManchester City to win
Odds1.10
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Manchester City to win
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Odds : 1.10
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Odds : 1.07
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Burnley have one of the trickiest tasks in world football coming up on the 31st of January, and that is a trip to the Etihad to take on Manchester City in the English Premier League. When you are battling relegation and in need of points desperately, the last thing any team needs is a match against one of the world's best teams. Will Manchester City claim a routine win, or will Burnley cause a big upset and head back home with a positive result? Check out my prediction below and my views will be revealed.

🏆 Manchester City vs Burnley: Who Will Win?

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When Manchester City lost to Aston Villa 1-0 six matches ago, some fans and pundits were claiming that their title chances could be over. Fast forward five games, and they are now just 5 points behind Liverpool at the top of the table. You can never count City out of the equation because they have quality all over the pitch, and usually always go on some sort of winning streak when it matters the most. They are the top scorers in the league and have one of the toughest defensive setups, so the title race is only over when it is mathematically so.

While City are second from top, Burnley are second from bottom and are staring relegation in the face. They have picked up just 12 points from their 21 matches, and are 5 points from safety heading into this match. They are where they are because of issues in front of goal at either end of the pitch. They have only scored an average of 1 goal per match, while they have been conceding an average of 2 goals per game. If the gap between them and safety hits 10 points, then I see no way back for Vincent Kompany and his young squad.

There will only be one winner in this match, and that is Manchester City. It should be a relatively comfortable victory for Pep Guardiola and his men, with my predicted score for this match being a 3-0 win to the home side.

My Prediction: 🏆 Manchester City 3 Burnley 0 ⚽

💯 Manchester City vs Burnley Match Odds

You always need to ensure that you are gambling at the best sports betting sites as this is how you make the most money from any winning bets that you are fortunate enough to land. All bookies that you encounter will offer markets and odds for football due to how popular it is, but some are much better than others. In the tables below, I have chosen some established and new UK betting sites that I believe are the best around for British football bettors and given you their odds for some popular markets.

Manchester City vs Burnley: Match Winner Odds

You will not be surprised to hear that Manchester City are the huge favourites for this clash, and you probably won't be shocked when I tell you that their odds are not even really worth looking at. If you have any free bets that you can make use of, I definitely would not suggest that you use it on the match winner of this game. There is a gulf in class between these two teams, and it should show out on the pitch.

Team
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Manchester City1.061.061.101.071.07
Draw9.859.8511.0011.5011.50
Burnley22.5022.5017.0031.0031.00

Manchester City vs Burnley: Both Teams To Score Odds

The bookies do not reckon that both teams will find the back of the net in this match, and I am not at all surprised by this. Manchester City will likely be without Ederson in goal, but I still do not expect a low-scoring Burnley to put the ball into the City goal. Only Liverpool and Arsenal have conceded fewer goals than Pep's men this season. Below you can find the odds for the both teams to score market:

Yes/No
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Yes2.702.702.302.452.50
No1.391.391.551.441.50

Manchester City vs Burnley: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

The bookies are favouring over 2.5 goals in this match, which means that they think City are going to have a walk in the park as they do not reckon Burnley will score. Thus, they are expecting City to breach Burnley's defense at least three times. This ties in with my 3-0 predicted win for City. You can put money on there being at least 3 goals if you wish, but the odds, as can be seen below, are nothing spectacular:

Yes/No
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Over 2.51.301.301.351.281.32
Under 2.53.123.123.103.153.30

✔️ Manchester City vs Burnley - Betting Tips

There is absolutely nothing stopping you from jumping right in and placing some random bets, but I suggest that you take a few minutes to read my football betting tips, rather than rely solely on Lady Luck to help you win.

  • Tip 1: Bet on City to win: Above I said that it is not worth betting on the winner of this match, but I know that there will still be some punters who want to put down a match winner bet. If you are such a bettor, then put your money on City to win. With the quality that they have in their squad, it would be one of the biggest upsets of the season if they were to lose to Burnley. At the time of writing, 10Bet Sports are offering odds of 1.10 for City to win.
  • Tip 2: Bet against both teams scoring: I do not think that Burnley has the attacking quality to breach City's defensive line. In the last ten matches that they have played against each other, Burnley have only found the back of the net on one occasion, while City have scored no fewer than 34 times. This means that City average 3.4 goals per game against Burnley in their last ten matches. Burnley must really be dreading this upcoming match. BetUK Sports are offering odds of 1.50 for both teams not to score.
  • Tip 3: Kevin de Bruyne to score: If you like to put money on a particular player to score, then I recommend you consider betting on Kevin de Bruyne to find the back of the net. He is one of the best players in the world, and he showed his class on his return to the team against Newcastle - he scored a fine goal and provided an assist. If you want to bet on him to score, then BetUK are offering odds of 2.63.
  • Tip 4: Bet on City to win 3-0: If you like to put money on the correct result of a match and, like me, you think this game will finish 3-0 in City's favour, then you can find odds of 6.00 for this final score at LeoVegas.

1️⃣Manchester City Update

Not too long ago, some pundits and fans were writing off Manchester City and declaring that the title was Liverpool's or Arsenal's to lose. However, that was a load of codswallop, and I still make City the favourites to win the title, despite the fact that they are sitting five points behind Liverpool. Kevin de Bruyne has made a much-awaited return to the team after a long injury, and I truly think that he could be the difference between them winning and losing the league title. After a slight blip, they seem to be the Manchester City that we all know and enjoy watching.

Last 5 Premier League Games
Newcastle United2
Manchester City3
13.01.24
Manchester City2
Sheffield United1
30.12.23
Everton1
Manchester City3
27.12.23
Manchester City2
Crystal Palace2
16.12.23
Luton Town1
Manchester City2
10.12.23

Pep Guardiola has a few players out injured, but this should not be much of an issue with the squad that he has at his disposal. In the table below, you can see the absentees for this clash with Burnley:

PlayerReason
John StonesFoot Injury
Manuel AkanjiUnknown Injury
EdersonKnee Injury
Erling HaalandAnkle Injury

2️⃣Burnley Update

Burnley were not given much hope of staying up at the start of the season, and not many will have changed their minds after 21 rounds have been played. They have only managed to win 3 matches all season because they are conceding far too many goals. If you concede an average of 2 goals per match, then you are always going to struggle to keep your place in the Premier League. They will not give up without a fight as Vincent Kompany will not allow his players to do this, but they just do not have enough quality to stay in this top league.

Last 5 Premier League Games
Burnley1
Luton Town1
12.01.24
Aston Villa3
Burnley2
30.12.23
Burnley0
Liverpool2
26.12.23
Fulham0
Burnley2
23.12.23
Burnley0
Everton2
16.12.23

Kompany has a number of players who will not be available for this match against City, and they will be a big miss because he does not have a huge squad to choose from. Below is a table of the absentees:

PlayerReason
Nathan RedmondThigh Injury
Luca KoleoshoKnee Injury
Charlie TaylorShoulder Injury
Jordan BeyerThigh Injury
Hannes DelcroixKnock

👕 Manchester City vs Burnley - Potential Lineups

Pos.Manchester City
4-2-3-1
Burnley
4-4-2
Pos.
GoalkeeperS. OrtegaJ. TraffordGoalkeeper
Right BackK. WalkerVitinhoRight Back
Centre BackR. DiasD. O'SheaCentre Back
Centre BackN. AkeH. EkdalCentre Back
Left BackJ. GvardiolA. Al-DakhilLeft Back
Defensive MidfielderRodriJ. GudmundssonRight Midfielder
Defensive MidfielderM. KovacicJ. CullenCentre Midfielder
Right WingB. SilvaJ. BrownhillCentre Midfielder
Attacking MidfielderP. FodenW. OdobertLeft Midfielder
Left WingM. DiabyZ. AmdouniStriker
StrikerO. WatkinsL. FosterStriker

Manchester City to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

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This Manchester City vs Burnley prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, including GAA, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.