Chelsea vs Burnley Match Prediction

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TournamentEnglish Premier League
Timetable15:00 GMT - 30th Mar 24
PredictionChelsea to win
Odds1.30
BookmakerBetUK Sports
Chelsea to win
The best odds
1.
Bet​UK Sports
Odds : 1.30
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Odds : 1.30
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Odds : 1.29
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This Premier League match sees Chelsea take on Burnley at Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon. Chelsea are currently sitting in 11th place and are still in with an outside shot of qualifying for Europe, while Burley are doing their best to avoid demotion back to the Championship. Will the home side pick up their 12th win of the season, or will Burnley give themselves a great chance of survival by picking up an unexpected win? You can find the answer to this question below.

🏆 Chelsea vs Burnley: Who Will Win?

Chelsea have spent a lot of money in recent seasons, so they should definitely not be sitting in 11th place in the EPL table. However, in recent weeks, it looks like Mauricio Pochettino has started to get the best out of his young players as they are starting to play some decent football. They will head into this match with a spring in their step as they booked themselves a spot in the semi-finals of the FA Cup with a win over Leicester.

Burnley have been the complete opposite of Chelsea as they have barely spent any money, so it is not much of a surprise to see them struggling to survive in the best league in the world. They are sitting in 19th place, but their 2-1 win against Brentford in their last match will have given them the boost that they need for the tense run-in between now and the end of the season.

When it comes to the result of this match, I can only see one winner, and that is Chelsea. They are in better form than their opponents and have a much better squad. I think that the Blues will go on to win this match by a scoreline of 3-1.

My Prediction: 🏆 Chelsea 3 Burnley 1 ⚽

💯 Chelsea vs Burnley Match Odds

When these two teams played against each other in October last year, Chelsea came away as comfortable 4-1 winners. The match was not as one-sided as the scoreline would suggest, though. In fact, Burnley actually managed to get more shots on goal - Chelsea managed five shots on target, and four went in, so they were just more efficient in front of goal. An own goal from Al Dakhil broke the deadlock in the 42nd minute, while Palmer, Sterling, and Jackson sealed the points.

This previous result as well as the current form in recent rounds is what established and new UK betting sites will use to form their odds for this upcoming reverse fixture. Below you will find three tables, and in these tables, you will see the odds that five of my favourite UK bookies are offering for the match winner, both teams to score, and over/under 2.5 goals.

Chelsea vs Burnley: Match Winner Odds

It will not come as a huge shock to hear that Chelsea are the overwhelming favourites to win this match. In fact, the odds suggest that Burnley have little to no chance, and this is something that I do not find hard to agree with. You will probably be disappointed by the short odds on offer because they do not offer much betting value to us football bettors. You can see the match winner odds for yourself in the table below:

Team
Chelsea1.271.271.301.291.30
Draw5.505.505.505.755.80
Burnley8.408.408.509.009.00

Chelsea vs Burnley: Both Teams To Score Odds

When it comes to EPL matches, these five bookies are usually pretty certain that both teams will find the back of the net, but they are less certain for this one. They are favouring the both teams to score option, but only just, which tells us that they would not be surprised if both teams did not score. As you know from my score prediction above, you already know where I stand on this front, and I will explain more in the next section. For now, just check out the BTTS odds below:

Team
Yes1.791.791.801.751.81
No1.881.881.911.891.95

Chelsea vs Burnley: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

One thing that the bookies are definitely certain about is that there will be at least three goals scored in this match. Since they are unsure as to whether both teams will score and they have Chelsea as favourites, they are telling us that they think this could end up being a 3-0 win for the Blues. Those who want to back over/under 2.5 goals can find the odds on offer in the table below:

Team
Over 2.51.451.451.501.451.47
Under 2.52.502.502.552.502.55

✔️ Chelsea vs Burnley - Betting Tips

It is always wise to find out what others are thinking about a match, which is why you should read the betting tips from a variety of experienced betting tipsters. I am going to kick-start things off by giving you four top tips for this Chelsea vs Burnley match.

As always, whether you are using your own hard-earned cash or free bets, make sure that you are gambling responsibly. Set up a budget with an amount that you know you can afford to potentially lose, and do not stray from it. Also, never chase your losses as this can lead down a slippery slope.

  • Tip 1: Bet on Chelsea to win: Chelsea have not been pulling up trees this season, but they have found a bit of form as of late and have much better players at their disposal than Burnley. If the Chelsea attackers play to the best of their ability, I can only see one outcome. Burnley will give their all like they usually do, but I do not think they have enough skill to win this. If you want to back a Chelsea win, then BetUK Sports are offering odds of 1.30. Due to the short odds, you might want to add it to an accumulator.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: The bookies are undecided as to whether both teams will find the back of the net in this match, but I am pretty sure that Burnley will at least be able to get themselves a consolation goal in this game. In their previous 10 matches, Chelsea have conceded an average of 1.90 goals per match, while Burnley have scored in all but two of their previous ten games. Those who want to back both teams to score can find odds of 1.81 on offer.
  • Tip 3: Bet on Cole Palmer to score: Chelsea's best player this season has been Cole Palmer, without a shadow of a doubt. From the 24 matches that he has played this season, he has picked up 11 goals and provided 8 assists. He is playing some of the best football of his young career and also takes any penalties that Chelsea are awarded. If you want to put money on Palmer to score, then you can find odds of 2.32 at LeoVegas Sports.
  • Tip 4: Bet on Chelsea to win 3-1: This match should have plenty of goals in it but, unfortunately for Burnley fans, most of the goals should be Chelsea's. They have some top attacking talent at their disposal, and I just cannot see a leaky Burnley defence managing to keep them at bay. However, Chelsea's defence has not been that great either this season, so I see Burnley getting on the scoresheet at least. Those who want to back this match to end 3-1 in Chelsea's favour can find odds of 9.30 on offer at Betiton Sport.

1️⃣Chelsea Update

Chelsea, after all the money they have spent in recent seasons, would have expected to be battling it out for a spot in the Champions League, but the best that they can hope for this season is a spot in the Conference League. Even if they do manage to qualify for the Conference League, there are rumours that they will opt to sit out as punishment for financially ill-discipline. This is a joke, in my opinion, but it is a topic for another day.

When it comes to their current form in the EPL over the last ten rounds, Chelsea are sitting in 9th place having picked up 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 wins. During this time, they have scored an average of 1.90 goals per match while conceding exactly the same number. If they are to sneak their way into Europe next season, they will need to start conceding fewer goals. Below are their previous five results in the EPL:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Chelsea3
Newcastle United2
11.03.24
Brentford2
Chelsea2
02.03.24
Manchester City1
Chelsea1
17.02.24
Crystal Palace1
Chelsea3
12.02.24
Chelsea2
Wolves4
04.02.24

Pochettino has a handful of injury issues that he will need to contend with ahead of this match against Burnley, but he has the squad depth to cope with these absentees. You can see the missing players below:

PlayerReason
Wesley FofanaKnee Injury
Reece JamesThigh Injury
Romeo LaviaThigh Injury
Christopher NkunkuThigh Injury
Levi ColwillAnkle Injury
Lesley UgochukwuThigh Injury

2️⃣Burnley Update

Burnley did look all but dead and buried not too long ago, but things are so tight at the bottom that a couple of positive results can do wonders for a team. In their previous EPL match, Burnley took on Brentford and came away with a 2-1 win, which means that they are now five points adrift of safety with 27 points left to play for.

They are the third-worst team in the league when it comes to form, having picked up just six points from the previous 30 that have been available to them. During this time, they have scored a total of 11 goals and conceded 25. If they can sure up their defence, they might just escape the mess that they find themselves in. Below are their previous five EPL results:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Burnley2
Brentford2
16.03.24
West Ham2
Burnley2
10.03.24
Burnley0
Bournemouth2
03.03.24
Crystal Palace3
Burnley0
24.02.24
Burnley0
Arsenal5
17.02.24

The players who are unavailable to Vincent Kompany for this match against Chelsea can be seen in the table below:

PlayerReason
Aaron RamseyKnee Injury
Nathan RedmondThigh Injury
Luca KoleoshoKnee Injury
Jordan BeyerThigh Injury
Ameen Al-DakhilThigh Injury

👕 Chelsea vs Burnley - Potential Lineups

Pos.Chelsea
4-2-3-1
Burnley
4-4-2
Pos.
GoalkeeperD. PetrovicA. MuricGoalkeeper
Right BackM. GustoL. AssignonRight Back
Centre BackT. ChalobahM. EsteveCentre Back
Centre BackA. DisasiD. O'SheaCentre Back
Left BackM. CucurellaC. TaylorLeft Back
Centre MidfielderM. CaicedoVitinhoRight Midfielder
Centre MidfielderE. FernandezJ. CullenCentre Midfielder
Right MidfielderC. PalmerS. BergeCentre Midfielder
Attacking MidfielderC. GallagherJ. Bruun LarsenLeft Midfielder
Left MidfielderR. SterlingW. OdobertLeft Striker
StrikerN. JacksonD. Datro FofanaStriker

Chelsea to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Chelsea vs Burnley prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.

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