Burnley vs Brighton Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips

burnley-vs-brighton-epl-prediction burnley-vs-brighton-epl-prediction
TournamentEnglish Premier League
Timetable15:00 GMT - 13th APR 24
PredictionDraw
Odds3.85
BookmakerBetUK Sports
The best odds
1.
Bet​UK Sports
Odds : 3.85
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2.
Leo​Vegas
Odds : 3.85
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10​bet Sport
Odds : 3.75
Bet £100 and win £375.00 if it is a draw.
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burnley-vs-brighton-epl-prediction burnley-vs-brighton-epl-prediction

Another 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday the 13th of April sees Brighton travel north to take on Burnley at Turfmoor. Burnley are in drastic need of the three points as they are in the Relegation Zone with games quickly running out, while the Seagulls need the points if they are to keep their hopes of more European football alive. So, who will earn the three points that are on offer in this Premier League match? Keep on reading and this question will be fully answered.

🏆 Burnley vs Brighton: Who Will Win?

Not many football fans and punters gave Burnley much hope of surviving one season in the Premier League, and so it has come to pass - unless some biblical miracle happens between now and the middle of May. They had a big game against Everton last Saturday, and a rookie mistake from their keeper cost them the match. Were it not for that, they might well have left Goodison Park with a valuable point.

Brighton, no disrespect to them, are a small team but they always seem to punch above their weight. Last season, they managed to finish in 6th place to book themselves a Europa League spot and, although they have not done as well this year, they are still doing well for a team of their stature - they are sitting six points adrift of Manchester United in 6th place. They took on Arsenal in their last match and were dispatched 3-0, but they are not the first team to have been taught a footballing lesson by the Gunners.

This will be a close match, especially since Burnley are playing at home and are fighting for their lives. I actually think it will finish all square, and my predicted scoreline for this match is 1-1.

My Prediction: 🏆Burnley 1 Brighton 1 ⚽

💯 Burnley vs Brighton Match Odds

When these two teams played at the Amex Stadium on the 9th of December, the match also ended all square. Burnley, who have a good record against Brighton, were dominated throughout the match, but the Seagulls were profligate in front of goal. If you have 11 shots on target to your opponent's three you would hope to be winning the game. Wilson Odobert opened the scoring just before half-time, but a Simon Adingra header earned a draw for the home team.

All established and new UK betting sites will offer Premier League odds and markets because they know how popular it is among sports bettors. However, you should only want to bet at top-quality bookies where you can get the best bang for your buck. Thus, below I have provided you with the odds that three of the best UK bookmakers are currently offering for three popular football betting markets.

🏅 Burnley vs Brighton: Match Winner Odds

Since Brighton are sitting comfortably in mid-table and Burnley are in a fight for their Premier League lives, it will probably not come as much of a surprise to you to find out that the top bookies have Brighton as the favourites to win. However, their odds tell us that the bookies are not entirely convinced, and do see Burnley as having the potential to get something out of this match. Below you can see the match winner odds:

Team
Burnley3.303.303.353.603.60
Draw3.703.703.753.853.85
Brighton1.981.982.051.931.94

⚽ Burnley vs Brighton: Both Teams To Score Odds

Sometimes the sports betting sites will be confident that both teams will find the back of the net, and this is one such occasion. As you know from the predicted score that I gave earlier, I also think that both teams will score in this game. You can find out why I think this in my betting tips section, but for now, just check out the BTTS odds that my favourite bookies are offering:

Team
Yes1.491.491.501.521.58
No2.452.452.402.252.32

🥅 Burnley vs Brighton: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

The odds that are available for the over/under 2.5 goals market tell us that these five bookmakers feel that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this match. They are also pretty certain that there will be under 3.5 goals, which tells us that they think the Seagulls will win this match with a 2-1 scoreline. This is a fun market to bet on as you can support both teams as they are attacking, and the over/under 2.5 goals odds can be seen below:

Team
Over 2.51.551.551.601.571.58
Under 2.52.272.272.302.232.25

✔️ Burnley vs Brighton - Betting Tips

Before you go ahead and place a free bet or a real money bet on this match, do yourself a big solid and check out my Burnley vs Brighton tips below.

  • Tip 1: Bet on the match to be drawn: I would be tempted to bet on a Brighton win, but every team has their bogey team, and it would seem that Burnley is Brighton's. Since 2017, these two teams have played each other 11 times, and the Seagulls have won just twice. There have been a total of six draws in this time. Burnley have drawn three of their last five league games, so I am backing another stalemate here. BetUK Sports have odds of 3.85 on offer for a stalemate.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: Both teams have found the back of the net in 71% of Brighton's matches this season, while six of the previous ten fixtures between these two teams have seen both sides score. Burnley have conceded an average of 2.20 goals in their previous ten matches, while Brighton have conceded 1.60. Thus, it is hard to see either team keeping a clean sheet. Those who want to back BTTS can find odds of 1.58 at BetUK Sports.
  • Tip 3: Back under 2.5 goals to be scored: The bookmakers are favouring the over 2.5 goals market in this race, but I am opting for the under 2.5 goals option since this is historically not a high-scoring fixture - Six of the previous ten matches between these two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored. I think history will repeat itself as neither team are on fire in front of the goal at the moment, and those who agree with me can find odds of 2.40 at 10Bet Sport.
  • Tip 4: Bet on the match to finish 1-1: I always like to have a look at the correct score market because the available odds are usually pretty enticing - this is because it is not a simple market to get correct. However, the high odds mean that you do not need to place a huge stake down in order to get some sort of decent return. If you want to put money on this game to end 1-1, then Betiton Sport are currently offering odds of 6.95.

N.B. Always make sure to gamble responsibly by betting within your means. Set yourself a budget and never chase your losses.

1️⃣Burnley Update

Vincent Kompany's men have only registered a total of four wins all season, and they probably need five or six more wins to give themselves a good shot at avoiding relegation. You are probably thinking the same as what I am thinking - there is no way they will manage that feat. Their fans might as well enjoy their last six games in the Premier League and get ready for a hard slog in the Championship. They are averaging 1.00 goal per match while conceding 2.10 goals, so it is no wonder that they are going back to where they belong.

They are sitting in 18th place in the form guide with just seven points from the previous 30 that have been on offer. Below you can find their previous five EPL results:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Everton1
Burnley1
06.04.24
Burnley1
Wolves1
02.04.24
Chelsea2
Burnley2
30.03.24
Burnley2
Brentford1
16.03.24
West Ham2
Burnley2
10.03.24

Kompany has a number of players whom he will not be able to call upon for this big match against Brighton. Due to his small squad, he really cannot afford such injuries. You can see the missing players below:

PlayerReason
Han-Noah MassengoAnkle Injury
Aaron RamseyCruciate Ligament Injury
Jordan BeyerHamstring Injury
Ameen Al-DakhilMuscle Injury
Nathan RedmondKnee Injury
Luca KoleoshoKnee Injury
Dara O'SheaStraight Red Card

2️⃣Brighton Update

Brighton are sitting in exactly mid-table as they have picked up 43 points from the 31 matches that they have played. They are definitely safe from relegation, so they can now concentrate on trying to finish as high up the table as they can. If they win a good chunk of their remaining fixtures and other results go their way then they might find themselves playing in the Europa Conference League next season.

The Seagulls are sitting in 13th place in the EPL form table, having picked up three wins, two draws, and five losses from their last ten matches. In the table below, you can find Brighton's five previous EPL results:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Brighton0
Arsenal3
06.04.24
Brentford0
Brighton0
03.04.24
Liverpool2
Brighton1
31.03.24
Brighton1
Nottingham Forest0
10.03.24
Fulham3
Brighton0
02.03.24

What type of injury list does Roberto de Zerbi have heading into this match against Burnley? Well, he is in a similar boat to Kompany as he has seven injuries to contend with. You can see who these are below:

PlayerReason
Evan FergusonKnock
Jack HinshelwoodFoot Injury
Kaoru MitomaBack Injury
James MilnerThigh Injury
Solly MarchKnee Injury
Adam WebsterUnknown
Billy GilmourKnee Injury

👕 Burnley vs Brighton - Potential Lineups

Pos.Burnley
4-4-2
Brighton
4-2-3-1
Pos.
GoalkeeperA. MuricB. VerbruggenGoalkeeper
Right BackL. AssignonP. EstupinanRight Back
Centre BackD. O'SheaL. DunkCentre Back
Centre BackM. EsteveJ. Paul van HeckeCentre Back
Left BackC. TaylorT. LampteyLeft Back
Right MidfieldL. FosterPascal GroßCentre Midfield
Centre MidfieldJ. CullenCarlos BalebaCentre Midfield
Centre MidfieldS. BergeS. AdingraRight Wing
Left MidfieldJ. Bruun LarsenJ. ModerCentre Midfielder
StrikerW. OdobertJ. EncisoLeft Wing
StrikerD. Datro FofanaD. WelbeckStriker

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Burnley vs Brighton prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.

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