Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds, and Betting Tips

aston-villa-vs-chelsea-epl-prediction aston-villa-vs-chelsea-epl-prediction
TournamentEnglish Premier League
Timetable20:00 GMT - 27th APR 24
PredictionDraw
Odds3.75
BookmakerBetUK Sports
The best odds
1.
Bet​UK Sports
Odds : 3.75
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Leo​Vegas
Odds : 3.75
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10​bet Sport
Odds : 3.60
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aston-villa-vs-chelsea-epl-prediction aston-villa-vs-chelsea-epl-prediction

The final match on Saturday 28th April sees Chelsea travel up to Birmingham to take on Aston Villa at Villa Park. The home side are chasing Champions League football and could open up a nine-point gap over Spurs in 5th place, while Chelsea are still in with a shot of qualifying for the Europa Conference League. Will Villa grab three Premier League points that would put them one foot into next season's UCL or will Chelsea take the points back down to the capital? Read on to find out my prediction for this big match.

🏆 Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Who Will Win?

Aston Villa have picked up seven points from their previous three EPL matches, which has given them a six-point gap over their rivals for the 4th and final Champions League qualifying spot. Spurs do still have two games in hand, but it is better to have points on the board at this stage in the season as it amplifies the pressure. Tottenham still have to play Arsenal, Chelsea, Man City, and Liverpool, so Emery and his men know that a win against Chelsea could all but assure UCL qualification.

Chelsea had been on an eight-match unbeaten streak in the EPL but all that came to an abrupt halt at the Emirates on Tuesday evening as they were dispatched 5-0 by title-chasing Arsenal. Losing to Arsenal at the Emirates is fine, but the performances that the players put in were absolutely shocking. It looked like they did not care that they were being destroyed by one of their biggest rivals. Everyone can have a bad day at the office, so Chelsea fans will be looking for a response from them at the weekend.

I think that they will get a response, but it will not be enough for them to gain all three points. Villa have a good record at home, so I think it will end in a stalemate. As for the scoreline of the draw, let us go for a 2-2.

My Prediction: 🏆Aston Villa 2 Chelsea 2 ⚽

💯 Aston Villa vs Chelsea Match Odds

When Villa travelled down to the capital to take on Chelsea at the end of September, the Midlands-based team walked away with the points thanks to a 1-0 win. The Blues had more of the possession, but Aston Villa did more with the ball when they had it. The away side had 15 shots to Chelsea's 10, with seven of those being on target compared to the home side's four. With an hour approaching on the clock and the scores level, the game turned in Villa's favour when Malo Gusto was sent off for dangerous play. Villa started to dominate, and Ollie Watkins scored the only goal of the match in the 73rd minute.

All established and new UK betting sites will offer their punters competitive odds and a range of markets for every EPL match, but you obviously want to put down your bets at the best bookies available to British football bettors to ensure you get your money's worth. Therefore, below you can find five of my favourite bookmakers and the odds that are being offered for three top football betting markets.

🏅 Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Match Winner Odds

19 points are separating Villa and Chelsea in the EPL table, so you might be thinking that Emery's men will be the big favourites for this match. If so, then you are wrong as the bookmakers have this down as a close match, with Villa just about edging the match winner odds - this will be because they are playing at home. The bookies have this match down as one that could see any of three results, and the match winner odds can be seen below:

Team
Aston Villa2.212.212.252.232.23
Draw3.553.553.603.753.75
Chelsea2.882.882.952.952.95

⚽ Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Both Teams To Score Odds

Goals are usually the order of the day in the Premier League, which is why you will find the bookmakers predicting both teams to score in the majority of matches - unless, for example, the bottom of the league is going to come up against the top of the league. The five bookmakers that I have recommended to you are more certain than usual that both teams will find the back of the net in this game, and I also feel that the chances of this happening are very high.

Below you can find the BTTS odds for this Aston Villa vs Chelsea match:

BTTS
Yes1.361.361.381.371.43
No2.882.882.802.702.75

🥅 Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

The bookmakers are also very certain that this match will have over 2.5 goals scored in it but under 3.5 goals. Both teams tend to favour attacking football over defence, so this is a very likely probability. The odds provided for all three markets tell us that these bookies believe that Villa winning 2-1 is a highly likely outcome. The odds for over 2.5 goals are pretty short, but I have provided them to you, nonetheless.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.51.421.421.451.421.44
Under 2.52.632.632.702.602.63

✔️ Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Betting Tips

Before you go ahead and put money or a free bet on a football bet, it is always a good move to check out some advice from top tipsters first since their extra knowledge can help you when it comes to placing a winning bet. Although, as always, winning is never guaranteed when you are sports betting. With this in mind, below I have decided to give you my four top tips for Aston Villa vs Chelsea:

  • Tip 1: Bet on a draw: If you were to go completely off form, you would have to back Villa to win this match quite comfortably. However, the Blues will be desperate to make amends for their disappointing showing against Arsenal on Tuesday night. Furthermore, Villa do not have a great record against Chelsea, having won just three of their previous ten matches against them. For me, everything points towards a draw, and those who want to back this outcome can find odds of 3.75 at BetUK Sports.
  • Tip 2: Bet on BTTS: Aston Villa have been one of the most entertaining teams to watch in the EPL this season as there are usually goals in their games. In fact, 68% of their matches this season have seen both teams find the back of the net. Furthermore, 75% of Chelsea's away matches have seen both defences breached. Eight of Villa's previous ten EPL games have seen the BTTS market get hit, while the same can be said of Chelsea's previous ten EPL matches. If you want to back both teams to score in this match, then BetUK Sports are offering odds of 1.43 for this market.
  • Tip 3: Bet on Cole Palmer to score: Palmer missed the hammering at Arsenal due to sickness, but he should be available to play this match. If he is, then back him to score for Chelsea as he has been in fine form this season. He has scored 20 goals in the Premier League this season and also takes their penalties, so I think it is easy to see why I think he might get his name on the scoresheet. If you would like to back him to score, then LeoVegas Sports are offering odds of 3.15.
  • Tip 4: Back a 2-2 scoreline: I do not know which way this match will go, and the bookmakers do not know which way it will go either, which points to a high possibility of a draw. There should be goals in this match as both teams are stronger in attack than defence, and I can see two goals apiece and a point apiece. If you think that this match will end 2-2, then Betiton Sport are currently offering odds of 9.20 for this exact scoreline after 90 minutes.

N.B. It is important to gamble responsibly. Set yourself a budget with an amount that you can afford to lose. If you are not having fun, stop.

1️⃣Aston Villa Update

Aston Villa fans entered this season full of optimism after finishing in 7th place last season, but not even the most optimistic supporters would have predicted them to have such a good season. If you had told a Villa fan in August that come to the end of April, they would be sitting in 4th spot and be in the semi-final of the Europa Conference League, they would have probably started rolling on the floor laughing. Things got even better for those of a claret and blue persuasion this week as Unai Emery signed a new deal at the club.

When it comes to form, Villa are sitting in 4th place with six wins, two draws, and two defeats from their previous ten matches. During this time, they have scored an average of 2.10 goals per match while conceding an average of 1.80 goals. Below you can find their previous five EPL results:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Aston Villa3
Bournemouth1
21.04.24
Arsenal0
Aston Villa2
14.04.24
Aston Villa3
Brentford3
06.04.24
Manchester City4
Aston Villa1
03.03.24
Aston Villa2
Wolves0
30.03.24

What makes Villa's season even more impressive is the fact that Emery has had to deal with long-term injuries to key players right from the very first game. He has seven players out for this match against Chelsea, and you can see who these absentees are in the table below:

PlayerReason
Boubacar KamaraKnee Injury
Emi BuendiaKnee Injury
Tyrone MingsKnee Injury
Jacob RamseyAnkle Injury
Nicolo ZanioloKnock
Kortney HauseKnee Injury
Clement LengletUnknown
Alex MorenoCalf Injury

2️⃣Chelsea Update

Chelsea looked like they were ending the season on a high as they had an eight-game unbeaten streak in the Premier League, but Arsenal put a very abrupt stop to that on Tuesday evening. Many have been calling Chelsea a one-man team, and they did nothing to put these claims to bed at the Emirates. They will be hoping that Palmer overcomes his illness and is available for Saturday evening as they are inherently better when he is in the starting XI.

They are in 8th place in the form table with 16 points collected from the previous 30 that have been on offer. During this time, they have scored an average of 2.50 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.20. Below are their previous five EPL results:

Last 5 Premier League Games
Arsenal5
Chelsea0
23.04.24
Chelsea6
Everton0
15.04.24
Sheffield United2
Chelsea2
07.04.24
Chelsea4
Manchester United3
04.04.24
Chelsea2
Burnley2
30.03.24

Mauricio Pochettino has also been very unlucky on the injury front this season, but they do have a much bigger squad than many of the other teams in the league. You can see their missing players for this Villa match below:

PlayerReason
Robert SanchezUnknown
Wesley FofanaCruciate Ligament Injury
Reece JamesHamstring Injury
Romeo LaviaThigh Injury
Christopher NkunkuKnock
Levi ColwillToe Injury
Lesley UgochukwuMuscle Injury
Ben ChilwellKnee Injury
Malo GustoKnee Injury

👕 Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Potential Lineups

Pos.Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Chelsea
4-2-3-1
Pos.
GoalkeeperE. MartinezD. PetrovicGoalkeeper
Right BackM. CashM. GustoRight Back
Centre BackE. KonsaT. ChalobahCentre Back
Centre BackP. TorresA. DisasiCentre Back
Left BackL. DigneM. CucurellaLeft Back
Centre MidfieldJ. McGinnM. CaicedoCentre Midfield
Centre MidfieldY. TielemansE. FernandezCentre Midfield
Right MidfieldL. BaileyN. MaduekeRight Midfield
Attacking MidfielderD. LuizC. PalmerAttacking Midfield
Left MidfieldM. RogersC. GallagherLeft Midfield
StrikerO. WatkinsN. JacksonStriker

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.

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