Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Semi-Final Prediction & Betting Tips

real-madrid-vs-bayern-munich-ucl-prediction real-madrid-vs-bayern-munich-ucl-prediction
TournamentUEFA Champions League
Timetable20:00 GMT - 8th MAY 24
PredictionReal Madrid to win
Odds@1.95
BookmakerBetUK Sports
Real Madrid to win
The best odds
1.
Bet​UK Sports
Odds : 1.95
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2.
10​bet Sport
Odds : 1.91
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Leo​Vegas
Odds : 1.90
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real-madrid-uefa-champions-league-prediction real-madrid-uefa-champions-league-prediction

We enter the second leg of this Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich with things perfectly balanced after a 2-2 draw at the Allianz Arena on Tuesday. There should be plenty of drama and excitement on offer in this second leg as no players from either team will want to make a mistake that eliminates them when they are so close to achieving more glory in Europe. Will Real Madrid take a step closer to their 15th UCL title or will Bayern Munich lift their seventh Champions League trophy? This prediction aims to answer such a question.

🏆 Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Who Will Win?

Real Madrid picked up a scrappy win against Real Sociedad in their last La Liga fixture, which keeps the 12-point gap between them and Barcelona alive. With just five games left to play, Real know that one more domestic win will see them claim the title. They have been in fine form in La Liga, winning eight and drawing two of their previous ten matches, and we all know that they are the real deal in the Champions League. Even when they are not playing at their best, they just always seem to find a way to progress.

Bayern Munich will be disappointed to miss out on the Bundesliga title, but they will doth their caps to Bayer Leverkusen who have been one of the best teams in Europe this season. Despite their disappointment, they have not let their heads drop and are still playing some entertaining football as seen against Real Madrid on Tuesday evening. They will be even more determined now to go all the way in the UCL to make sure that they do not have their first trophyless season since 2011/12.

The Germans showed that they could compete with their Spanish opponents, but I just cannot look beyond a win for Real as they just always seem to be able to pull something out of the bag. They were completely outplayed by Man City in the second leg of their quarter-final but held on to win on penalties. Even if they get outplayed again, I can just see them pulling their sleeves up and marching on. I am going to predict a 2-1 win for Real Madrid.

My Prediction: 🏆 Real Madrid 2 Bayern Munich 1 ⚽

💯 Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Match Odds

Below you will find a mixture of established and new UK betting sites that offer top odds and a nice range of football betting markets for this Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich match. Due to how prestigious the Champions League is, it is easy to find a bookie that has betting options for its matches, but it is not easy to find the perfect option for you - which is where I come into the equation.

If you believe that any of the following five sports betting sites are great for you but you want to be 100% sure first before you fully commit, then you can find out everything about them via our bookmaker reviews section.

🏅 Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Match Winner Odds

The odds that the bookies offered for the first leg of this semi-final clash told us that they believed that it was going to be a really close match, and that is what we got. In fact, at the risk of blowing my own trumpet, I predicted that the match would end all square - hopefully, some of you listened and saw some nice returns. Vinicius Junior pounced on two errors from Bayern's Kim Min-Jae to score a brace for his side, while Leroy Sane and Harry Kane were on target for the Germans. Each team had their fair share of dominance over the 90 minutes, so a 2-2 draw was a fair result in my eyes.

The odds that the bookmakers are offering for this return leg in Madrid are not as close as they were for the first leg. Real Madrid are considered the big favourites, which is what we should expect given their history in this competition and the fact they are playing at home. Below you can see the match winner odds:

Team
Real Madrid1.851.851.911.901.95
Draw3.703.703.803.703.85
Bayern Munich3.603.603.603.753.85

⚽ Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Both Teams To Score Odds

The best teams in Europe take part in the Champions League, so it stands to reason that this competition has some of the best strikers in the world on full display. As a result, goals are not hard to come by - there have been 3.02 goals scored per game on average in this year's season.

We all know the quality that Real Madrid and Bayern Munich have in the attacking department, so it is little surprise to see that my five selected bookmakers are all favouring both teams to score in this match. Below you can see the current odds that they are offering for this popular football betting market:

BTTS
Yes1.501.501.531.541.60
No2.362.362.352.232.28

🥅 Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

The five bookmakers that I recommend are pretty certain that we will see over 2.5 goals scored in this game, while they are also quite sure that the over 3.5 goals market will not come in. What this, as well as the odds above tells us, is that these bookies believe that the most likely score is a 2-1 win for the home side. Such a result would see Real Madrid make it through to the final courtesy of a 4-3 aggregate score.

Below are the recent odds for the over/under 2.5 goals market:

Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.51.571.571.621.601.61
Under 2.52.212.212.252.182.20

✔️ Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Betting Tips

This part of my Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich betting guide will deal with some of my betting tips for this huge match. When you bet on football, or any other sport, even when you have free bets available, always have a look at what experienced tipsters are thinking because they might just have spotted a potential outcome that you did not.

Below you can find four of my top pieces of betting advice for this game:

  • Tip 1: Bet on Real Madrid to win: Los Blancos have won seven in the 11 matches that these two teams have played against each other in the past, so they have history firmly on their side. Furthermore, Real Madrid are yet to lose a match in this season's UCL, which tells us just how hard they are to beat in this competition. Even if Bayern throw the kitchen sink at Real, I can see them overcoming it by hook or by crook. If you want to back Real to win, then BetUK Sports are offering odds of 1.95 at present.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: Real have struggled for clean sheets in the UCL this season as both teams have scored in eight of the 11 matches that they have played. Regarding Bayern Munich, a total of 60% of their away matches have seen both teams score at least one goal. With all of the attacking talent on display, both defensive setups are going to be kept very busy and I can see both teams getting on the scoresheet. Those who want to put money on BTTS can find odds of 1.60 at BetUK Sports.
  • Tip 3: Bet on Harry Kane to score: We all know how lethal Harry Kane can be in front of goal and his first season in the Bundesliga has seen him rack up 35 goals in the 31 matches that he has played. He has also played his part in the UCL, scoring eight goals in the 11 matches that he has played. There is a very good chance that he gets his name on the scoresheet, and those who want to bet on this can find odds of 2.55 at LeoVegas Sports.
  • Tip 4: Bet on a 2-1 win for Real Madrid: I am certain that both teams will find the back of the net in this game, but Los Blancos will use their past experiences in this competition to get themselves into their 18th Champions League final. If you think that this match has 2-1 written all over it in favour of Real Madrid, then Betiton Sport are offering odds of 7.75.

N.B. Make sure to gamble responsibly by setting a budget and sticking to it. Never tell yourself it is okay to chase losses.

1️⃣Real Madrid Update

Real Madrid have all but wrapped up the La Liga title, but the main trophy that they have their eye on this season is the Champions League. It is always hard to bet against Los Blancos in the UCL due to their amazing history in this competition - they have made it to 17 finals, lifting the title on 14 occasions. Since 2010, they have taken place in 14 UEFA Champions Leagues, and they have only failed to make the semi-finals twice. They have won it five times in this time.

They have been in fine goal-scoring form in this season's edition, scoring a total of 24 goals which is an average of 2.18 goals per match. In these matches, they have conceded an average of just 1.27 goals per game. Below you can find their previous five results in all competitions at the time of writing.

Last 5 Matches
Bayern Munich2
Real Madrid2
30.04.24
UEFA Champions League
Real Sociedad0
Real Madrid1
26.04.24
La Liga
Real Madrid3
Barcelona2
21.04.24
La Liga
Man City1
Real Madrid1
17.04.24
UEFA Champions League
Mallorca0
Real Madrid1
13.04.24
La Liga

At the time of writing, Carlo Ancelotti has just the one absentee and you can see who this unfortunate soul is in the following table:

PlayerReason
David AlabaCruciate Ligament Injury

2️⃣Bayern Munich Update

Bayern's chances of winning the Bundesliga are gone and they are out of both the domestic cups, which means that their only chance of collecting any silverware this season is by winning the UCL. They are guaranteed a spot in next season's edition of the tournament, so they can put all of their proverbial eggs into winning the Champions League. They have a very good history in this tournament, winning it six times with their last win coming against PSG in the 2019/20 edition.

From their 11 matches in this season's edition, they have won seven, drawn three, and lost just the one. They have scored 20 goals at an average of 1.82 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.00 goals per match. Below you can see their previous five results at the time of writing:

Last 5 Matches
Bayern Munich2
Real Madrid2
30.04.24
Champions League
Bayern Munich2
Eintracht Frankfurt1
27.04.24
Bundesliga
Union Berlin1
Bayern Munich5
20.04.24
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich1
Arsenal0
17.04.24
UCL Champions League
Bayern Munich2
Koln0
13.04.24
Bundesliga

Thomas Tuchel has a number of injuries that he will need to contend with ahead of this big game against Real Madrid, and you can see who his absentees are in the following table:

PlayerReason
Leroy SaneKnock
Kingsley ComanGroin Injury
Sacha BoeyHamstring Strain
Noël Aséko NkiliAnkle Injury
Bouna SarrCruciate Ligament Injury
Tarek BuchmannThigh Injury
Matthijs de LigtKnee Injury

👕 Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Potential Lineups

Pos.Real Madrid
4-3-1-2
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1
Pos.
GoalkeeperA. LuninM. NeuerGoalkeeper
Right BackL. VazquezJ. KimmichRight Back
Centre BackA. RudigerK. Min-JaeCentre Back
Centre BackNachoE. DierCentre Back
Left BackF. MendyN. MazraouiLeft Back
Centre MidfieldF. ValverdeL. GoretzkaCentre Midfield
Centre MidfieldA. TchouameniK. LaimerCentre Midfield
Right MidfieldT. KroosL.SaneRight Wing
Attacking MidfieldJ. BellinghamT. MullerAttacking Midfield
StrikerRodrygoJ. MusialaLeft Wing
StrikerV. JuniorH. KaneStriker

Real Madrid to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.