PSV v Dortmund Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

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TournamentChampions League
Timetable20:00 GMT - 20th Feb 24
PredictionDortmund to win
Odds3.25
BookmakerLeoVegas
Dortmund to win
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psv-vs-borussia-dortmund-predictionpsv-vs-borussia-dortmund-prediction

The Champions League knockout stages are always worth a watch because there are always some cracking ties to entertaining us. Now, PSV v Dortmund is probably not many people's idea of a mouth-watering tie, but it should still be a match with plenty of entertainment. This match will take place on the 20th of February at the Philips Stadium with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 GMT. Who will win the first leg and a big advantage back to Germany? Well, this is a question that this prediction will answer in spades.

🏆PSV vs Borussia Dortmund: Who Will Win?

PSV are sitting at the top of the Eredivisie standings with 59 points from the 21 matches that they have played. They have a 10-point gap over Feyenoord in second place and a much superior goal difference. They have not lost a league game all season, and have scored 68 goals while only conceding 10. They finished second in Group B of the UCL behind Arsenal, but it must be said that they were in a pretty easy group.

Dortmund's chances of winning the Bundesliga are pretty slim as they are currently sitting in 4th place, a total of 15 points adrift of Bayer Leverkusen, who are occupying the top spot. While the title is all but gone, they need to keep their foot on the ball because there is still a Champions League spot for next season up for grabs. They had the hardest group in the Champions League as it included AC Milan, PSG, and Newcastle, and they still came out on top, losing just the one match. Conceding just 4 goals in such a group was pretty impressive too.

PSV are having a very good season, but we must take into account the strength of the league that they are playing in. With the way that Dortmund played in the Group Stage, I think that they will go on and take a crucial advantage back to Germany with them. My predicted scoreline for this match is a 2-1 win for die Schwarzgelben.

My Prediction: 🏆 PSV 1 Borussia Dortmund 2 ⚽

💯 PSV vs Borussia Dortmund Match Odds

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When it comes to UEFA Champions League football, there are many different betting options that you can try your luck with, but the three that many football bettors like to concentrate on include the match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, and both teams to score. Due to their popularity, these are the three markets that I will concentrate on for this prediction, and below you will be able to find the odds that some of the best established and new UK betting sites are offering.

Those of you who want to find out more information on any of the following bookmakers, then click on the logos in the tables, and you will be taken to our bookmaker reviews page.

PSV vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Winner Odds

The bookmakers have PSV Eindhoven as the favourites to go on and win this match, which is actually a little bit surprising to me. I can only guess that this is because of their great home record which has seen them win all ten home matches in the Eredivisie this season. In these games, they have scored 31 and conceded just the 5. While this is impressive, we do need to take the league's quality into account. Anyway, for now, let us focus on the odds that are being offered:

Team
betiton-sport-logobetiton-sport-logo
mr-mega-logomr-mega-logo
10bet-logo10bet-logo
leovegas-logoleovegas-logo
fun-sports-logofun-sports-logo
PSV2.142.142.102.102.12
Draw3.603.603.453.653.60
Borussia Dortmund3.103.103.003.253.20

PSV vs Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams To Score Odds

The bookmakers are backing both teams to score in this match, and they are pretty sure that this is pretty much a foregone conclusion. This is because PSV have been scoring goals for fun this season - they are averaging 3.24 goals per game, which is pretty impressive, even if they are playing in a league that is not as good as the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, or Serie A. Dortmund also have no issues scoring goals as they are currently averaging a little over 2 goals per match. Below are the odds for BTTS:

Team
betiton-sport-logobetiton-sport-logo
mr-mega-logomr-mega-logo
10bet-logo10bet-logo
leovegas-logoleovegas-logo
fun-sports-logofun-sports-logo
Yes1.521.521.531.491.55
No2.432.432.382.352.33

PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

Seeing as the bookies think that PSV will win this match and that both teams will find the back of the net, it stands to reason that their odds are favouring at least three goals to be scored in this game. If you enjoy betting on the total number of goals that will be scored in a match, then you can find the over/under 2.5 goals odds for this PSV v Dortmund match in the following table:

Team
betiton-sport-logobetiton-sport-logo
mr-mega-logomr-mega-logo
10bet-logo10bet-logo
leovegas-logoleovegas-logo
fun-sports-logofun-sports-logo
Over1.601.601.651.561.63
Under2.192.192.202.252.20

✔️ PSV vs Borussia Dortmund - Betting Tips

When you are doing a spot of football betting, whether you are using your own money or making use of free bets, it is always wise to check out some betting tips before you jump in and put down your bets. Thus, in this section of my betting guide, I am going to give you my betting tips for this PSV vs Borussia Dortmund game.

  • Tip 1: Bet on Dortmund to win: The bookmakers have PSV as the favourites to win this match, but I am going to recommend that you bet against this. PSV do have an impeccable home record, but I think that Dortmund have the better team. Furthermore, they showed their class in the Group Stage by topping the hardest group, losing just the once. I think there is value in a Dortmund win, and LeoVegas are currently offering odds of 3.25 for an away win.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: Scoring is something that neither of these teams have an issue with, so I agree with the sports betting sites when they predict that both teams will find the back of the net in this game. Eindhoven have played 10 games in this season's Champions League, and both teams have scored in 80% of their home matches. With the attacking talent that will be on display in this match, I would be surprised if either team kept a clean sheet. Fun Casino Sports are currently offering odds of 1.55 for BTTS.
  • Tip 3: Bet on over 2.5 goals: When you combine the goals that both of these teams have scored in their respective leagues, then you have a total of 111 goals in 42 matches - that works out at an average of 2.64 goals per match. Neither of these teams are goal shy, so it is little wonder that the bookies are expecting goals in this one. If you want to back there being at least three goals in this match, then you can find odds of 1.65 at 10Bet Sport.
  • Tip 4: Bet on Dortmund to win 2-1: For me, Dortmund are stronger than PSV and should go on to win this match. However, I cannot see them keeping a clean sheet, which is why I have opted for a 2-1 win for the Germans. If you want to bet on a 2-1 win for Dortmund, then Betiton Sport are offering odds of 9.90 for this outcome.

1️⃣PSV Update

Whoever engraves the Eredivisie trophy might as well start engraving PSV's name on it because it is hard to see them not going on to win the title this season. A 10-point gap is going to be pretty hard for Feyenoord to overcome, especially considering the form that the leaders are in. They were in a pretty simple UCL group and ended up finishing in second place behind Arsenal.

With the other seeded teams that they could have been pitted against, they will be relatively happy with having to face Dortmund. If they can manage to get through to the last eight, then they will consider it to have been a very successful Champions League campaign - they last made it that far in the 2006/07 campaign.

Last 5 Games
FC Volendam1
PSV Eindhoven5
11.02.24
Eridivise
Ajax1
PSV Eindhoven1
03.02.24
Eridivise
PSV Eindhoven2
Alemre City FC0
27.01.24
Eridivise
Feyenoord1
PSV Eindhoven0
24.01.24
KNVB Beker
FC Utrecht1
PSV Eindhoven1
21.01.24
Eridivise

Some coaches have lengthy injury lists at this time of year, but Peter Bosz can consider himself lucky as he has just the two players missing at the time of writing. Obviously, this could increase after their next league match on the 16th of February, so make sure to check that out if you are going to bet on this match. Below are the current absentees for this clash with Dortmund:

PlayerReason
Noa LangHamstring Strain
Armel Bella-KotchapShoulder Injury

2️⃣ Borussia Dortmund Update

Dortmund lost out on the Bundesliga trophy to Bayern Munich last season on goal difference alone, but it does not look like they are going to be any close to a title challenge this time around. Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich are just a class above this season. Dortmund are not having a bad season though, and are well in contention to finish in the top four and book themselves a spot in next season's UCL.

Dortmund will be well pleased with who they were drawn against for their Round of 16 tie, and they will be confident of making it through to the last eight. They will even be harbouring aspirations of going deeper in the tournament and, if they play how they did in the Group Stage, then there is no reason why not.

Last 5 Games
Borussia Dortmund3
Freiburg0
09.02.24
Bundesliga
FC Heidenheim0
Borussia Dortmund0
02.02.24
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund3
Bochum1
28.01.24
Bundesliga
FC Cologne0
Borussia Dortmund0
20.01.24
Bundesliga
Darmstadt0
Borussia Dortmund3
13.01.24
Bundesliga

Edin Terzić has also been lucky when it comes to the injuries that he and his team have had to contend with lately. At the time of writing, they only have three players who will miss the first leg of this Round of 16 clash. You can see who these are in the table below:

PlayerReason
Alvaro MorataKnee Injury
Cesar AzpilicuetaMeniscus Injury
Thomas LemarAchilles Tendon Injury
Jose Maria GimenezThigh Injury

👕 PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund - Potential Lineups

Pos.PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3
Borussia Dortmund
4-4-2
Pos.
GoalkeeperW. BenitezG. KobelGoalkeeper
Right BackJ. TezeJ. RyersonRight Back
Centre BackA. RamalhoN. SuleCentre Back
Centre BackO. BoscagliN. SchlotterbeckCentre Back
Left BackS. DestI. MaatsenLeft Back
Centre MidfielderJ. VeermanM. ReusRight Midfielder
Centre MidfielderJ. SchoutenE. CanCentre Midfielder
Centre MidfielderI. SaibariM. SabitzerCentre Midfielder
Right WingJ. BakayokoJ. Bynoe-GittensLeft Midfielder
StrikerL. de JongN. FullkrugStriker
Left WingH. LozanoD. MalenStriker

Dortmund to win

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

about-author-sheldonabout-author-sheldon

This PSV vs Borussia Dortmund prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a tipster and betting expert from the United Kingdom who has a passion for a whole range of sports, particularly football, rugby, and cricket. He is an avid Aston Villa fan, so feel free to feel a bit of pity for him. He has been involved in the online gambling industry for a number of years now and has written a large number of predictions for a variety of sports, so he has built up a lot of sporting expertise over the years.