Inter v Porto Prediction: Who Will Gain a Crucial Advantage?

Inter v porto Inter v porto
TournamentChampions League 2023
TimetableWed 22nd of February at 20:00
PredictionInter to win
Odds1.81 (Bet £‎100 and Receive £181 If Inter Win)
Inter to win
The best odds
Odds : 1.81
If Inter win, you will receive 1.81 x 100 = £181
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Odds : 1.83
If Inter win, you will receive 1.83 x 100 = £183

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Inter will be quite happy with being drawn to take on Porto in the Round of 16 as they could have been drawn with the likes of Chelsea, Real Madrid, or Manchester City. Porto will also be relatively happy with the way that the draw played out since they avoided a tie against teams such as Liverpool, Borussia Dortmund, and Paris Saint-Germain. Both of these teams play some really good football, so this should hopefully be one of those games that offers plenty of entertainment. Inter are currently second in the Serie A and look set to claim a Champions League spot for next season, while Porto are also second in the Portuguese Primeira Liga. Below you can find out our prediction for this big match.

Preview: The All-Important Date & Venue for Inter v Porto

The first leg of this Round of 16 Champions League match will be played at the majestic San Siro stadium on February the 22nd at 20:00 GMT. We expect to see a similar trend in this match in that both teams will spend the first part of the match being cautious while trying to identify any weaknesses that their opponents might have. Once any nerves have disappeared and the two teams think they know where they can gain the upper hand, there should be plenty of drama and entertainment on offer.

If you do decide to place any type of bets on this match, then please remember that UEFA decided to eliminate the away goal rule which used to be crucial. Previously, home teams were wary of going too hard in the first home leg in case they conceded any away goals, while the away team were desperate to get an away goal on the board. If scores were level at the end of the two legs, then the team with the most away goals would go through. However, now, since this rule has been scrapped, the match will go to extra-time and penalties if the scores are level after two legs.

Inter v Porto History

Inter Milan is one of the most successful football teams in Italy with a total of 34 domestic titles to their name. This includes 19 Serie A titles, eight Coppa Italia, and seven Supercoppa Italiana. Between 2006 and 2010, they won five league titles in a row, which equalled the record at the time.

They also get to play in the biggest stadium in Italy, the San Siro, which they share with local rivals AC Milan. They can boast of having the highest home match attendance in all of Italy the sixth highest in Europe.

There are three big teams in Portugal and Porto are one of them, with the other two being Sporting CP and Benfica. The Primeira Liga was established back in 1934, and Porto played in all of these seasons. They are the second most decorated club in Portuguese football having won a total of 83 major titles - this includes 30 Primeira League titles, 18 Taça de Portugal and 23 Supertaça Cândido de Oliveira. In 2010/11 and 2012/13 Porto won the league without suffering a defeat.

So, both of these teams have clearly had plenty of success in their own countries, but what type of success have they had in the big European competition that is the Champions League? This is what we are going to go ahead and take a look at now.

Inter Champions League History

Inter, who are currently being coached by Simone Inzaghi, are no strangers to this competition as they have won the title on three occasions - they won it for the first time in 63/64 when it was known as the European Champion Clubs' Cup, and they defended their title the following season. When it comes to what is now known as the Champions League, they have won it once, which was back in 2010 when they defeat Bayern Munich 2-0 in the final at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid.

However, their performances in this competition over the last five seasons have left a lot to be desired. They were eliminated in the Group Stage on three occasions and made it to the Round of 16 on the other two occasions. For a club with Inter's European stature, this lack of success was something that their fans found hard to stomach - especially their Group Stage exit in 2021/22 when they failed to get out of a group that consisted of Real Madrid, Shakhtar Donetsk, and Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Some of the best football betting sites around have given the Italian giants odds of around 34.00 to win the title, so it is fair to say that they do not expect Inter to pick up their fourth Champions League title. However, we feel that they do have the players to go deep in this year's competition, and they will be quietly confident of being able to book their spot in the Quarter-Finals.

If you happen to be a football bettor that likes making bets that have an outside chance of coming in, then you should think about betting on Inter Milan to go on and lift the title. If we are being honest, we think that odds of 34.00 are quite high and that they have a better chance of winning the title than their odds would suggest. The likes of Liverpool and Tottenham have much lower odds, and we do not think that these two teams are much better than Inter at present.

Porto Champions League History

Porto, who are currently managed by Sérgio Conceição, have had plenty of success in Europe with their first big win coming in 1987 when they beat Bayern Munich 2:1 at the Ernst-Happel-Stadion in Vienna. Since the competition became known as the UEFA Champions League, they have taken part in 26 editions and lifted the title back in 2004 when they beat Monaco 3-0 at the Arena AufSchalke in Gelsenkirchen - they were led by José Mourinho, who also led Inter to their 2010 title.

In the 2018/19 and 2020/21 seasons they made it to the last eight after beating Liverpool and Chelsea, so they have recent history of going far in this competition. In las year's edition they were eliminated in the Group Stage, but they were drawn in a group that included Atletico Madrid, AC Milan, and Liverpool, so there was really no shame in not managing to qualify for the Round of 16.

Out of the 16 teams that are left in this competition, only three have been given slimmer chance of lifting the title than Porto. While they are a decent team that can cause any issues on their day, we do not think that they will upset these odds and go on to lift the Champions League title for the third time in their history. However, they will be quietly confident of being able to overturn Inter and making it through to the Quarter-Finals, and then who knows what might happen in the last eight.

Inter v Porto Head-to-Head

When you are thinking about betting on football games, it is important that you have a look at the head-to-head record that exists between the two teams. Why should you do this? Well, if you take the time to look at a head-to-head record then you can see which of the two teams often comes out on top when they meet, which is something that can play a big role in the result of their next meeting. There are some teams that have managed to build a psychological edge over particular rivals, and this can end up being a really big advantage.

So, with this firmly in mind, we have given you a table that highlights what happened in the previous meeting between Inter and Porto:

23/02/2005Porto vs Inter1-1UEFA Champions League
15/03/2005Inter vs Porto3-1UEFA Champions League
19/10/2005Porto vs Inter2-0UEFA Champions League
01/11/2005Inter vs Porto2-1UEFA Champions League
05/08/2006Inter vs Porto3-2UEFA Champions League

So, as you can see from this above table, Inter and Porto have met on five occasions with the Italians coming out on top three times. Although these two teams last met 18 years ago, Inter will still be buoyed by the decent record that they have against the Portuguese club. If you still go ahead and place a bet on this match, then we suggest that you take the time to look at some of these quality Champions League betting offers that the best sportsbooks are currently offering their punters.

Inter v Porto Highlights: Path to the Round of 16

Alongside the head-to-head record that exists between the two sides, you should look at how both teams have managed to get to this stage in the tournament. Since there is a draw to decide who will play who, one team might be tasked with navigating a much trickier route than the one that their opponents have had to tread. If one of the teams needed to bypass a trickier route and still performed better than their rivals, then keep this in mind when you are thinking about placing a bet.

When you are placing bets, no matter what sport you are betting on, you can do yourself a huge favour by not rushing into things as this can seriously decrease your odds of landing a win. While we must stress that there can never be a guarantee that your wager will end up a winning one if you take your time to think about it, there can be no dispute that doing research is something that is very helpful. Therefore, we are now going to take a gander at how both Inter and Porto made it to this stage of the competition.

Inter's Route to the Round of 16

Inter Milan were drawn in Group C alongside Bayern Munich, Barcelona, and Viktoria Plzen so it was definitely one of the harder groups out of the eight. At the start of the Group Stage, many probably would have expected Barcelona and Bayern to finish in the top two spots, but Inter took the second spot and relegated Barcelona to the Europa League, where they now have to take on Manchester United. You will probably not be too surprised to find out that Viktoria Plzen finished bottom of the pile.

From the six games that they played in the Group Stage, Inter picked up three wins, one draw, and two defeats, finishing with 10 points and a +3 goal difference. Their campaign got off to the worst start with a 2-0 defeat at home to Bayern Munich, but a 2-0 against Viktoria Plzen in the next round got them up and running. In the third round they picked up an impressive 1-0 win over Barcelona before an entertaining 3-3 draw against the same opponents in the fourth round. In their fifth match they beat Plzen 4-0, while their campaign ended with another 2-0 defeat to Bayern. Although they lost twice to Bayern Munich, they actually put in a couple of solid performances and were unlucky not to get more out of either game.

Porto's Route to the Round of 16

Porto were drawn in Group B alongside Club Brugge, Atletico Madrid, and Bayer Leverkusen. When this group was drawn, Porto would have fancied their chances of making it out of the group, but not many would have put their money on Porto topping the group and Atletico Madrid finishing in fourth place.

From the six matches that they played, Porto won four, drew 0, and lost two to finish on 12 points and a +5 goal difference. They lost to Atletico Madrid in the first match 2-1 and then lost to Club Brugge 4-0 to give themselves an uphill task of qualifying for the Round of 16. However, they did not let the pressure get to them and beat Bayer Leverkusen twice before beating Club Brugge and Atletico Madrid. To manage to top the group after such a poor start was pretty impressive.

Inter v Porto Odds

Earlier we told you what the top Europa League betting sites think about either Inter and Porto going on to lift the title, but there is something that helps to make football betting extremely popular and this is the fact that punters have a plethora of other markets that they can place their hard-earned money on. For instance, you can wager on the team that you feel will win the first leg and take an important advantage into the second leg. In the table below you can see the odds that some of the best sports betting sites in the United Kingdom are offering their punters for this Inter v Porto game.

Inter to Win1.811.801.851.831.80
Porto to Win4.504.254.504.404.40

As can be seen from the Inter v Porto odds in this table, the top bookmakers feel that Inter will end up winning this match relatively comfortably. We actually feel that this will be a closer game than what the odds would otherwise suggest.

Inter vs Porto Betting Tips

You can put money on the team that you think will win the trophy or the team that will go on to win a particular game, but there are plenty of other football betting markets on offer to football bettors. Below we have given you some tips for when you are betting on this Inter v Porto game.

Both Teams to Score: Between them both Inter and Porto scored 22 goals in 12 matches, so they know where the goal is. Also, both teams conceded seven goals in the six group game matches that they played, so neither are the type of team that just does not give goals away. Thus, with this in mind, we really do think that both teams will end up finding the back of the net in this game.

Over 2.5 goals: When it comes to scoring goals, Porto will be calling upon the likes of Mehdi Taremi, Evanilson, and Wenderson Galeno, while Inter will be looking towards players such as to Lauturo Martinez, Edin Dzeko, and Nicolo Barella to provide their attacking threat. With all of this attacking talent on display, we think that there will be at least three goals scored in this match, which is why we would recommend going for the over 2.5 goals option.

Mehdi Taremi to score: If you want to put your money on a player to score, then we would recommend that you take a close look at Porto's Taremi. The Iranian is prolific in front of goal having scored 47 times in 86 appearances for his club, while he also has 30 international goals to his name from 63 appearances. The Inter defenders will have to marshal him carefully because if they give him an inch then he will take a mile and will be slamming the ball into the back of the net.

Marcelo Brozović to be booked: If you are the type of punter that likes to bet on particular players picking up a yellow card then we suggest that you think about betting on Brozović. The Croatian takes no prisoners in the heart of the midfield and he is not afraid of putting in a good old fashioned sliding tackle. Due to his no nonsense attitude, he is no stranger to going into the referee's book, which is why he is our top pick for getting cautioned in this match.

All top sports betting sites nowadays will have their own request a bet which allows you to get in touch with them and ask for odds for a betting market that they are not currently offering. They will take your request on board and will then give you suitable odds for it to happen or not. You will then be left to decide whether you want to go ahead with the wager.

Inter v Porto Live Stream

You can look at you like, but you will not find live streams for this match at any sports betting site as they do not have the permission to show live UEFA Champions League games. TV channels need to stump up a lot of money in order to purchase the rights for matches from such big football events, so sportsbooks are hardly going to be allowed to stream them to their punters for free. If you would like to watch this Inter vs Porto game live from the United Kingdom, then you can find it on BT Sport.

Our Final Prediction

When you look at the odds that are on offer for this match, they will tell you that the sportsbooks think that Inter will win this match easily, but we are not sure about that. While we do think that Inter will win the match, we believe that Porto, who have some quality players at their disposal, will give them a hard game. Inter should have too much in the end for the Portuguese side, but they will be given a little bit of a scare. We think that the Italians will come out on top with a scoreline of 2-1.

Our match prediction: Inter to win.

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Inter to win