Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

dortmund-vs-atletico-madrid-epl-prediction dortmund-vs-atletico-madrid-epl-prediction
TournamentUEFA Champions League
Timetable20:00 GMT - 16th Mar 24
PredictionDraw
Odds@3.65
Bookmaker10bet Sport
The best odds
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10​bet Sport
Odds : 3.65
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Bet​UK Sports
Odds : 3.60
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Odds : 3.50
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dortmund-vs-atletico-madrid-ucl-prediction dortmund-vs-atletico-madrid-ucl-prediction

We all expected to be fully entertained when these Champions League quarter-final draws were made, and we were definitely not disappointed by the football that was on show. In this quarter-final match, Dortmund will welcome Atletico Madrid to Signal Iduna Park, and the home side will have a one-goal deficit to try and overturn. Will they be able to do this and keep their hopes of silverware alive or will Atletico make it to the semi-final stage for the first time since the 2016/17 edition? Read on to find out my views on how this match will play out.

🏆 Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid: Who Will Win?

Borussia Dortmund finished in second place in the Bundesliga last season, losing out to Bayern Munich on goal difference. Their fans would have expected them to challenge for the title once more, but this season has been a bit of a flop in all honesty. They are sitting in 5th place with 56 points from 29 matches and are battling it out with RB Leipzig for the final Champions League spot. Qualifying for the UCL is the very least that their fans would expect, so the pressure is definitely on them.

Atletico Madrid are where you would expect them to be in the La Liga table - they are currently sitting in 4th place with 61 points from the 31 matches that they have played. They have a four-point cushion over Athletic Club in 5th place, so they will be pretty certain about being able to qualify for next season's competition. With a one-goal advantage heading into this second leg, their fans will be confident about being able to make it into the last four.

These two teams are evenly matched in my opinion, and Atletico Madrid know that a draw will be enough to see them through to the semi-finals. They know how to grind out results, and I can see them getting the draw that will see them advance in the competition. I am going to go for an entertaining 2-2 draw.

My Prediction: 🏆 Dortmund 2 Atletico 2 ⚽

💯 Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid Match Odds

The Champions League is the biggest club football competition in the world, which is why you will find a nice range of UCL markets and odds at the majority of bookies that you encounter. However, you know that not all bookies have been created equally, and you will obviously be looking to register with the cream of the crop. Thus, below I have given you the odds for popular markets that some quality established and new UK betting sites are offering for this huge Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid match.

Those who want to find out more information about any of these five top bookmakers can do so by heading over to our bookmaker reviews section.

🏅 Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid: Match Winner Odds

Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid have only played each other a total of three times in their history, and Dortmund have one win to Atletico’s two. Goals were not a rarity in these matches as there has been an average of 3.00 goals scored per game. Atletico got off to a flier in the first leg and found themselves two goals up after just half an hour, but then Dortmund grew into the game and scored in the 81st minute - this Haller goal could prove to be a crucial one.

The bookies know that these two teams are pretty even, but they have opted to put Dortmund down as the slight favourites since they will have home advantage. The odds for Atletico tell us that they have not been ruled out. You can see the match winner odds below.

Team
Borussia Dortmund2.192.192.252.252.30
Draw3.603.603.653.503.60
Atletico Madrid3.003.003.103.053.10

⚽ Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid: Both Teams To Score Odds

Due to the quality of the teams that are left at this stage of the Champions League, the bookmakers usually back both teams to find the back of the net, and this match does not buck that trend. With the quality on display in both teams' attacks, the defences will need to be switched on for the whole 90 minutes. Like the bookies, I also believe that both teams will concede, and you can see the BTTS odds for this match below:

Team
Yes1.521.521.531.521.58
No2.432.432.382.252.30

🥅 Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid: Over/Under 2.5 Goals Odds

The bookies are slightly less confident that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this game, but they are still quite sure that there will be. Neither of these teams have had any trouble finding the net in their domestic leagues or throughout the earlier stages of the UCL, so, understandably, they are backing there to be at least three goals in this match.

They do not think that there will be over 3.5 goals, which, along with the previous odds, tells us that they think a very likely outcome is Dortmund to win 2-1 after 90 mins. Check out the over/under 2.5 goals odds below:

Team
Over 2.51.601.601.651.651.66
Under 2.52.192.192.202.102.12

✔️ Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid - Betting Tips

In this part of my betting guide, I am going to take you through some of the top tips for this Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid game. I really do suggest that you pay close attention to this betting advice before you go ahead and bet on this game, whether that is with real money or a free bet which you have required.

  • Tip 1: Bet on a draw: I am expecting a close game between two teams that are quite evenly matched, and I do not think that there will be anything to separate them come the end of 90 minutes. If there is one team that you do not want to play against when you need to win to advance, it is Atletico Madrid. They just know how to grind out a draw and get the result that they need to progress. Atletico have drawn 50% of their away matches in the UCL this season, and those who want to back them to draw again can find odds of 3.65 at 10Bet.
  • Tip 2: Bet on both teams to score: In the three matches that both of these teams have played against each other, both teams have found the back of the net on just the one occasion. This is too small a sample size to pay much heed to in my view, and the fact that 75% of Atletico's away matches in this season's UCL have seen both teams scoring is a stat that is worth taking note of. Dortmund are averaging 1.25 goals per match at home in the 2023/24 UCL, while Atletico are averaging 1.50 goals per away match. Those who want to put money on BTTS can find odds of 1.58 at BetUK Sports.
  • Tip 3: Bet on Antoine Griezmann to score: The Frenchman has been in fine form for Atletico Madrid in this season's Champions League with six goals from the nine matches that he has played in. Overall, he has 21 goals from the 41 matches that he has played in this season, so Dortmund will certainly be wary of the threat that he carries. If you want to put money on him to score, you can find odds of 2.70
  • Tip 4: Bet on a 2-2 scoreline: Dortmund will have to go all out for the win because a draw is not enough to see them through to the final four. They will be able to get at Atletico's defence with their attack, but they will leave space in behind for the Spanish team to exploit. There will be goals in this one, but I can see it ending all square at 2-2. If you are the same, then Betiton Sport are offering odds of 10.50 for this scoreline.

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1️⃣Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund can still not fully concentrate on the Champions League as they need to make sure that they finish at least 4th in the Bundesliga so that they can claim a spot in next season's competition. This is something that could end up playing into Atletico's favour. They were in the hardest group of the Champions League as they had to play against PSG, Ac Milan, and Newcastle, but they went on their merry way and topped the group. They were then pitted against PSV Eindhoven in the Round of 16, and they came through with a 3-1 aggregate win.

Below you can find their previous five results in all competitions:

Last 5 Matches
Monchengladbach1
Borussia Dortmund2
13.04.24
Bundesliga
Atletico Madrid2
Borussia Dortmund1
10.04.24
UCL Champions League
Borussia Dortmund0
VfB Stuttgart1
06.04.24
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich0
Borussia Dortmund2
30.03.24
UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund3
Eintracht Frankfurt1
17.03.24
Bundesliga

Edin Terzić currently has six players that he will not be able to call upon for this match against Atletico Madrid, and you can see the missing absentees below:

PlayerReason
Jamie Bynoe-GittensBack Injury
Sebastian HallerAnkle Injury
Ramy BensebainiKnee Injury
Samuel BambaMuscle Injury
Jadon SanchoUnknown
Abdoulaye KamaraKnee Injury

2️⃣Atletico Madrid Update

Atletico Madrid won La Liga four years ago, and since then they have remained a top-four team in the Spanish first division. One of the main reasons for their success is their defence, which is known for being extremely tight. They were in a Champions League group alongside Lazio, Feyenoord, and Celtic and they topped the group with four wins and two draws from their six matches. They only conceded six goals in the group stage, which highlights their defensive abilities. In the Round of 16, they took on Inter Milan and knocked them out on penalties.

Below are their previous five results in all competitions:

Last 5 Matches
Atletico Madrid3
Girona1
13.04.24
La Liga
Atletico Madrid2
Borussia Dortmund1
10.04.24
UCL Champions League
Villarreal0
Atletico Madrid2
01.04.24
La Liga
Atletico Madrid0
Barcelona3
17.03.24
La Liga
Atletico Madrid2
Inter Milan1
13.03.24
UEFA Champions League

Diego Simeone has three injuries and one suspension to contend with for this match, and you can see the missing players in the following table:

PlayerReason
S. NiguezKnock
Memphis DepayMuscle Injury
Thomas LemarAchilles Tendon Injury
LinoDiciplinary Points

👕 Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid - Potential Lineups

Pos.Borussia Dortmund
4-3-3
Atletico Madrid
3-5-2-
Pos.
GoalkeeperG. KobelJ. OblakGoalkeeper
Right BackJ. RyersonA. WitselCentre Back
Centre BackM. HummelsJ. Maria GimenezCentre Back
Centre BackN. SchlotterbeckS. SavicCentre Back
Left BackI. MaatsenN. MolinaRight Midfield
Centre MidfieldS. OzcanM. LlorenteCentre Midfield
Centre MidfieldE. CanKokeCentre Midfield
Centre MidfieldM. SabitzerR. De PaulCentre Midfield
Right WingD. MalenR. MandavaRight Midfield
StrikerN. FullkrugA. GriezmannStriker
Left WingJ. BrandtA. MorataStriker

✒️ Sheldon Muchmore - iGaming and Sports Betting Enthusiast

This Dortmund vs Atletico prediction was written by Sheldon Muchmore.

Sheldon is a sports tipster and casino writer from the UK who has a passion for a variety of sports, especially football, rugby, and cricket. He has been involved in the sports betting industry for many years now, and is always eager to provide successful predictions. He is also a dab hand when it comes to the iGaming sector as he has written many casino and slot game reviews.