Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Match Prediction & Betting Tips

atletico-v-dortmund-prediction atletico-v-dortmund-prediction
TournamentUEFA Champions League
Timetable20:00 GMT 10 Apr 24
PredictionDraw!
Odds@3.60
Bookmaker10bet Sport
The best odds
1.
10​bet Sport
Odds : 3.60
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2.
Mr Mega Sports
Odds : 3.55
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3.
Betiton
Odds : 3.55
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After securing a hard-fought penalty shootout win at the Wanda Metropolitano in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16, Atlético Madrid heads into the Quarterfinals to face Borussia Dortmund with a confidence boost. Both teams are gearing up for an intense battle as they aim to advance to the next stage. Meanwhile, Dortmund secured their place in this round by defeating PSV 2-0 (3-1 on aggregate). To get detailed insights into the Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund clash, including the latest odds and strategic betting tips, be sure to read this comprehensive betting guide to the end.

🏆 Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund UCL Prediction

Things are always very serious at this stage of the season. Thus, I believe we can anticipate a very strong contest between these two sides who have a lot to prove to their fans especially given the way their respective seasons have gone so far. When examining the historical matchups, Borussia Dortmund holds a slight advantage over Atlético Madrid, boasting three victories against Atlético's two wins in their previous meetings. So far, only one game has ended in a stalemate. The previous meeting between these sides was in the group stage of the 2018/19 season when each side won the home fixture (Dortmund 4-0 Atlético and Atlético 2-0 Dortmund).

As both teams are well-equipped to clinch a victory, the forthcoming match is finely balanced. Reason why, my assessment tilts in favour of a draw. Los Colchoneros are undefeated in 31 of their last 33 home games in all competitions, whilst Dortmund is on a hot five-game winning streak across all competitions. Form which indicates a tasty contest.

My Prediction: 🏆 Atletico Madrid 1 – 1 Borussia Dortmund ⚽

💯 Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund UCL Match Odds

When assessing the odds provided by leading bookmakers, it's evident that Atlético holds a slight edge as favourites to advance to the Semi-Finals. However, this matchup is poised to be tightly contested and could swing in either direction. We eagerly anticipate witnessing 180 minutes (or potentially more with extra time) of intense competition between two formidable teams vying for the opportunity to face PSG or Barcelona in the Semi-Finals. Before you place your bets, I suggest reading our in-depth bookmaker reviews to acquire insights into well-liked UK sportsbooks and have a more focused approach to the most exciting odds, such as match-winner, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and total goals (over/under). Let's investigate them more!

🏅 Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Winner

Every discerning punter should’ve meticulously analyzed the odds for the victor of this impending clash. While bookmakers lean towards Atletico as the frontrunners, the question lingers: can they deliver? Recent performances by the Spanish side have been inconsistent, marked by fluctuating fortunes, tallying three victories juxtaposed with three defeats. Conversely, the German contingent's commendable form over the past five matches stands as a testament to their perseverance and diligence. Bolstered by a resounding away triumph against Bayern, Dortmund enters the fray fueled by newfound momentum. Now, let's examine the odds provided by my preferred bookmakers and some new UK betting sites.

Team
Atletico Madrid to Win1.801.711.711.76TBA
Borussia Dortmund to Win4.3334.254.254.56TBA
Draw3.603.553.553.65TBA

⚽ Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Borussia Dortmund has demonstrated remarkable efficiency in recent matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game, thus surpassing their season's overall average. Interestingly, while Dortmund excels in scoring, Atletico Madrid has surprisingly conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last six games. Given these statistics, it seems evident that both teams are likely to find the back of the net in this upcoming encounter. Here are the current odds offered by bookmakers:

Yes/No
Yes1.801.751.751.82TBA
No1.9091.891.891.91TBA

🥅 Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Over/Under 2.5 Goals

When I analyze the matches contested by Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund this season, they have yielded 1.91 goals per game on average for Atleti and 1.89 goals per game for Dortmund across all competitions. Conversely, they both concede an average of 1.20 and 1.05. Here are the odds the bookies are offering:

Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals1.951.861.861.91TBA
Under 2.5 Goals1.8331.761.781.81TBA

✔️ Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Betting Tips

Be sure to use free bets for this game if you’ve got the chance to claim any since wagering is never really sure, especially in a big competition like the UCL. Here are some expert tips I came up with to assist you in cooking up well-informed bet slips.

  • Back Borussia Dortmund to score first : While Borussia Dortmund may present odds of 4.333, an alternative perspective warrants consideration: the probability of Edin Terzic’s side grabbing the opener in this intense confrontation. Despite the renowned defensive fortitude of the Rojiblancos, vulnerabilities have surfaced intermittently throughout their campaign, notably conceding first in three of their last five matches. This insightful analysis suggests an intriguing avenue for exploration. You could claim this market at a price of 2.86 with Betiton Sport.
  • Back under 3.5 goals scored: It is a UCL quarterfinal first leg we are about to witness. As such, the match is anticipated to be a tightly contested affair with strong defensive strategies from both sides. Given the tactical nature of both teams and their recent form, I foresee that the game will be a low-scoring one, with fewer than 3.5 goals scored throughout the match. As earlier stated, both teams record just below two goals per game. This expectation aligns with the defensive prowess of Atletico and the disciplined approach of Dortmund, suggesting that goal-scoring opportunities may be scarce as both teams look to maintain solidity at the back. You can bet on under 3.5 goals being scored in the game a price of 1.35 with Fun Casino Sports.
  • Back penalty to be awarded: Each member of the Atletico Madrid squad has incurred at least one booking, indicative of a predisposition towards technical lapses. Coupled with their steadfast defensive ethos, the likelihood of a player erring within the penalty box becomes apparent. Dortmund's recent matches have showcased their aggressive pressing tactics, heightening the prospect of penalties being conceded by either side. This intriguing scenario presents an enticing opportunity within the high-stakes market, available at an interesting price of 3.00 with 10Bet.

1️⃣ Atletico Madrid Update

Atletico Madrid is at a critical juncture, with just three wins in their last six outings. As the season approaches its peak, their hopes hinge on triumph in the UEFA Champions League and a robust finish in La Liga. The forthcoming UCL match is a decisive one, offering an opportunity to bolster their supporters’ confidence with a resounding victory or risk shifting their ambitions to clinching a UEFA Champions League spot for the next season via their league standing, which mayn’t be the easiest of tasks given that Bilbao is just 2 points behind them. Here’s a concise summary of their latest form:

Last 5 Games
Villareal1
Atletico Madrid2
03.03.24
La Liga
Atletico Madrid0
Barcelona 3
17.03.24
La Liga
Atletico Madrid2
Inter Milan 1
13.03.24
UEFA Champions League
Cadiz 2
Atletico Madrid 0
09.03.24
La Liga
Atletico Madrid2
Real Betis1
03.03.24
La Liga

Atletico Madrid has navigated through a season riddled with injuries. Fortunately, pivotal figures such as Griezmann and Gimenez have made a swift return from their recent setbacks. However, the squad faces the upcoming first leg without the services of Thomas Lemar, Marcos Paulo, Mario Hermoso, and Vitolo, presenting a challenge they are prepared to tackle.

PlayerReason
Thomas LemarArchilles tendon injury
Marcos PauloACL surgery
Mario HermosoMuscle injury
VitoloKnee injury

2️⃣ Borussia Dortmund Update

The Borussia Dortmund squad is steady on its grind. Their fine displays have permitted them to narrow the points gap between them and Stuttgart to just three. The team functions as a unit with goals and assists coming from all over the field. This is a commendable occurrence and it comes at the right time when every match feels like a final. Here’s a recap of Dortmund’s brilliant win streak:

Last 5 Games
Bayern München0
Borussia Dortmund2
30.03.24
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund3
Eintracht Frankfurt1
17.03.24
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund2
PSV Eindoven0
13.03.24
UEFA Champions League
Werder Bremen1
Borussia Dortmund2
09.03.24
Bundesliga
Union Berlin0
Borussia Dortmund2
02.03.24
Bundesliga

As Borussia Dortmund gears up for their next match, they'll be missing key players including Ramy Bensebaini, Abdoulaye Kamara, Gregor Kobel, and top scorer Donyell Malen. Despite Malen's significant absence, Edin Terzic's squad has demonstrated their ability to work as a unit, find the net, and control the play. Their cohesive performance led to a momentous victory over their fierce rivals Bayern Munich, marking their fifth consecutive win across all tournaments. This highlights the team's remarkable ability to overcome challenges and showcases the depth of talent within their ranks.

PlayerReason
Donyell MalenThigh problems
Ramy BensebainiInner ligament injury
Gregor KobelStomach flu
Abdoulaye KamaraUnknown injury

👕 Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund - Potential Lineups

Pos.Atletico Madrid
3-5-2
Borussia Dortmund
4-3-3
Pos.
GoalkeeperJ. OblakA. MeyerGoalkeeper
Centre BackA. WitselI. MaatsenLeft Back
Centre BackJ.M. GimenezN. SchlotterbeckCentre Back
Centre BackR. MandavaM. HummelsCentre Back
Right Wing BackM. LlorenteRyersonRight Back
MidfielderR. De PaulE. CanMidfielder
MidfielderKokeJ. BrandtMidfielder
Attacking MidfielderA. GriezmannF. NmechaMidfielder
Left Wing BackR. RiquelmeK. AdeyemiLeft Forward
StrikerA. MorataN. FüllkrugStriker
StrikerM. DepayJ. SanchoRight Forward

✒️ Yato Katte – Expert Tipster

Yato Katte Yato Katte

Yato is a seasoned sports writer and tipster deeply immersed in football, basketball, and mixed martial arts. He reveres Messi as the ultimate athlete and bleeds Chelsea blue as a devoted supporter. With numerous published articles and predictions, Yato aims to carve a prominent niche in the iGaming industry, offering insightful betting strategies.